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Bundesliga
Referee: S Gishamer
SK Rapid
S U S U T
4–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 44%
48%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
65%
52%
Both score Ø 55%
57%
52%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
25 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Sturm Graz 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 24 17 4 3 +29 55
2 Salzburg 24 16 6 2 +56 54
3 Wolfsberger AC 24 12 6 6 +24 42
4 SK Rapid 23 11 7 5 +19 40
5 Sturm Graz 23 9 5 9 +8 32
6 Hartberg 24 9 5 10 -19 32
7 Austria Vienna 24 6 11 7 -2 29
8 Altach 24 7 5 12 -10 26
9 Mattersburg 24 6 4 14 -24 22
10 St. Polten 24 4 9 11 -28 21
11 Tirol 24 5 5 14 -29 20
12 Admira 24 4 7 13 -24 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Nov -19 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–1 18. Aug -19 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 0–1

Match report

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
15′
🟨 V. Trummer
1–0 K. Arase ⚽
T. Fountas
25′
2–0 K. Arase ⚽
T. Fountas
28′
41′
🟨 K. Despodov
Half-time 2–0
K. Arase 🔁
↦ K. Kitagawa
46′
46′
🔁 P. Huspek
59′
🔁 J. Dominguez
↦ K. Friesenbichler
60′
🔁 T. Rocher
↦ C. Leitgeb
60′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ L. Jager
C. Knasmullner 🔁
↦ D. Petrovic
65′
70′
🟨 L. Spendlhofer
3–0 S. Schwab ⚽
70′
L. Greiml 🟨
71′
S. Grahovac 🔁
72′
T. Schick 🔁
↦ S. Auer
76′
S. Schwab 🔁
↦ Y. Demir
77′
4–0 T. Fountas ⚽
78′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
21 Tobias Knoflach G
22 Filip Stojković D
30 Leo Greiml D
20 Maximilian Hofmann D
31 Maximilian Ullmann D
39 Dejan Ljubičić M
8 Stefan Schwab M
13 Thorsten Schick M
28 Christoph Knasmüllner M
36 Kelvin Arase M
9 Taxiarchis Fountas F
Bench (7)
25 Paul Gartler
24 Stephan Auer
14 Srđan Grahovac
16 Dejan Petrović
48 Yusuf Demir
29 Ercan Kara
32 Koya Kitagawa

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1
27 Jörg Siebenhandl G
8 Emanuel Šakić D
20 Isaac Donkor D
23 Lukas Spendlhofer D
36 Vincent Trummer D
21 Juan Dominguez M
30 Ivan Ljubić M
25 Stefan Hierländer M
10 Otar Kiteishvili M
11 Kiril Despodov M
29 Thorsten Röcher F
Bench (7)
32 Tobias Schützenauer
4 Thomas Schrammel
18 Philipp Huspek
17 Lukas Jäger
24 Christoph Leitgeb
9 Bekim Balaj
19 Kevin Friesenbichler

Coach: N. El Maestro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.