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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Wolfsberger AC

U T T U U

2–0

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,3

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 40%

43%

36%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

75%

57%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,1

Scored

2,1

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

9 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 4. · Sturm Graz 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	28	18	8	2	+62	62
2	LASK	28	19	4	5	+32	61
3	SK Rapid	28	15	7	6	+25	52
4	Wolfsberger AC	28	12	8	8	+21	44
5	Austria Vienna	29	10	11	8	+3	41
6	Hartberg	28	11	5	12	-18	38
7	Sturm Graz	28	10	5	13	-5	35
8	Altach	29	9	8	12	-6	35
9	Mattersburg	29	7	6	16	-26	27
10	Tirol	29	6	7	16	-28	25
11	St. Polten	29	5	10	14	-34	25
12	Admira	29	5	9	15	-26	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	14	11	2	1	+35	35
2	LASK	14	7	3	4	+14	24
3	SK Rapid	14	6	4	4	+10	22
4	Austria Vienna	14	6	4	4	+3	22
5	Wolfsberger AC	14	5	5	4	+10	20
6	Altach	15	5	5	5	+1	20
7	Hartberg	14	5	3	6	-6	18
8	Sturm Graz	14	4	2	8	-6	14
9	St. Polten	15	2	6	7	-20	12
10	Admira	15	2	4	9	-15	10
11	Mattersburg	14	2	3	9	-16	9
12	Tirol	14	2	3	9	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	14	12	1	1	+18	37
2	SK Rapid	14	9	3	2	+15	30
3	Salzburg	14	7	6	1	+27	27
4	Wolfsberger AC	14	7	3	4	+11	24
5	Sturm Graz	14	6	3	5	+1	21
6	Hartberg	14	6	2	6	-12	20
7	Austria Vienna	15	4	7	4	+0	19
8	Mattersburg	15	5	3	7	-10	18
9	Tirol	15	4	4	7	-7	16
10	Altach	14	4	3	7	-7	15
11	Admira	14	3	5	6	-11	14
12	St. Polten	14	3	4	7	-14	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.