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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Xamax

U T S U S

1–2

Full-time

Basel

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Xamax Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Super League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

71%

54%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,1

2,0

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 6

11 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Xamax 9. · Basel 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	24	15	3	6	+21	48
2	Young Boys	25	14	6	5	+15	48
3	Basel	24	12	4	8	+23	40
4	Servette	24	10	8	6	+15	38
5	Luzern	24	10	4	10	-4	34
6	Zurich	24	9	5	10	-18	32
7	Lugano	24	6	9	9	-3	27
8	Sion	24	6	5	13	-14	23
9	Xamax	24	4	10	10	-12	22
10	Thun	25	6	4	15	-23	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	10	2	0	+18	32
2	Basel	12	7	2	3	+16	23
3	St. Gallen	12	7	2	3	+11	23
4	Servette	12	6	4	2	+10	22
5	Luzern	12	6	2	4	+1	20
6	Zurich	12	5	2	5	-9	17
7	Sion	12	3	3	6	-4	12
8	Lugano	12	2	6	4	-5	12
9	Thun	13	3	3	7	-12	12
10	Xamax	12	2	3	7	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	12	8	1	3	+10	25
2	Basel	12	5	2	5	+7	17
3	Servette	12	4	4	4	+5	16
4	Young Boys	13	4	4	5	-3	16
5	Lugano	12	4	3	5	+2	15
6	Zurich	12	4	3	5	-9	15
7	Luzern	12	4	2	6	-5	14
8	Xamax	12	2	7	3	-5	13
9	Sion	12	3	2	7	-10	11
10	Thun	12	3	1	8	-11	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.