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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Real Madrid

S T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Mallorca

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Mallorca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 43%

63%

23%

Points per game

2,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

40%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Mallorca 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	31	21	5	5	+39	68
2	Real Madrid	30	19	8	3	+36	65
3	Ath Madrid	31	14	13	4	+17	55
4	Sevilla	31	14	11	6	+12	53
5	Getafe	31	13	10	8	+11	49
6	Villarreal	31	14	6	11	+9	48
7	Sociedad	31	14	5	12	+8	47
8	Valencia	30	12	10	8	-2	46
9	Granada	31	12	7	12	+1	43
10	Ath Bilbao	31	10	12	9	+6	42
11	Levante	31	11	5	15	-7	38
12	Osasuna	31	9	11	11	-10	38
13	Alaves	31	9	8	14	-15	35
14	Betis	30	8	10	12	-8	34
15	Valladolid	31	7	13	11	-10	34
16	Celta	31	7	12	12	-6	33
17	Eibar	30	7	8	15	-16	29
18	Mallorca	30	7	5	18	-21	26
19	Leganes	31	5	10	16	-21	25
20	Espanol	30	5	9	16	-23	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	15	1	0	+36	46
2	Real Madrid	15	11	4	0	+23	37
3	Valencia	16	9	7	0	+13	34
4	Ath Madrid	15	9	5	1	+12	32
5	Granada	15	9	2	4	+8	29
6	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+9	28
7	Sociedad	16	8	3	5	+13	27
8	Getafe	16	7	6	3	+8	27
9	Sevilla	15	7	6	2	+8	27
10	Villarreal	15	7	5	3	+10	26
11	Alaves	16	7	5	4	+8	26
12	Betis	15	7	4	4	+6	25
13	Levante	15	7	4	4	+6	25
14	Mallorca	16	6	3	7	-2	21
15	Celta	15	5	5	5	+3	20
16	Eibar	15	6	2	7	-1	20
17	Osasuna	15	5	5	5	-5	20
18	Valladolid	15	3	9	3	+1	18
19	Leganes	16	4	4	8	-7	16
20	Espanol	15	2	5	8	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	8	4	3	+13	28
2	Sevilla	16	7	5	4	+4	26
3	Ath Madrid	16	5	8	3	+5	23
4	Barcelona	15	6	4	5	+3	22
5	Getafe	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	Villarreal	16	7	1	8	-1	22
7	Sociedad	15	6	2	7	-5	20
8	Osasuna	16	4	6	6	-5	18
9	Valladolid	16	4	4	8	-11	16
10	Ath Bilbao	16	2	8	6	-3	14
11	Granada	16	3	5	8	-7	14
12	Celta	16	2	7	7	-9	13
13	Espanol	15	3	4	8	-11	13
14	Levante	16	4	1	11	-13	13
15	Valencia	14	3	3	8	-15	12
16	Betis	15	1	6	8	-14	9
17	Leganes	15	1	6	8	-14	9
18	Eibar	15	1	6	8	-15	9
19	Alaves	15	2	3	10	-23	9
20	Mallorca	14	1	2	11	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.