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Bundesliga

Referee: C Jäger

Admira

T T T U T

1–3

Full-time

Mattersburg

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Admira Mattersburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

0,4

0,8

Conceded

2,8

3,2

Goal diff per game

-2,4

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

0,4

0,8

Conceded

2,8

3,2

Goal diff per game

-2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

17 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Admira 12. · Mattersburg 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	5	0	0	+19	15
2	LASK	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	0	2	+7	9
4	Sturm Graz	5	3	0	2	+4	9
5	Hartberg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Austria Vienna	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Tirol	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	St. Polten	5	1	2	2	-8	5
10	Altach	5	1	1	3	-5	4
11	Mattersburg	5	1	0	4	-12	3
12	Admira	5	0	1	4	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Hartberg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Wolfsberger AC	3	2	0	1	+7	6
4	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Tirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	LASK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Altach	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	SK Rapid	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Mattersburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-6	1
12	Admira	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Austria Vienna	3	1	1	1	+2	4
4	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	St. Polten	3	1	1	1	-2	4
6	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Tirol	3	0	1	2	-3	1
10	Admira	3	0	1	2	-8	1
11	Altach	3	0	0	3	-6	0
12	Mattersburg	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.