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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
1–1
Full-time
Salzburg
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 55%
35%
74%
Points per game
1,4
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
81%
52%
Both score Ø 60%
71%
48%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,1
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 7
14 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 6. · Salzburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 31 23 7 1 +45 76
2 Sturm Graz 31 19 6 6 +26 63
3 LASK 31 14 12 5 +18 54
4 A. Lustenau 32 11 10 11 -4 43
5 SK Rapid 31 12 6 13 +4 42
6 Austria Vienna 31 11 9 11 +3 42
7 Wolfsberger AC 32 12 6 14 +0 42
8 Tirol 32 10 8 14 -9 38
9 A. Klagenfurt 31 10 5 16 -19 35
10 Hartberg 32 9 6 17 -17 33
11 Altach 32 6 10 16 -24 28
12 Ried 32 4 11 17 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna Salzburg
30′
S. Koïta 0–1
42′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
Marvin Martins 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
A. Gruber 🔁
↦ A. Jukić
60′
63′
🔁 K. Konaté
↦ F. Amankwah
Matthias Braunöder 🟨
67′
James Holland 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Sekou Koita
N. Dovedan 🔁
↦ J. Holland
74′
78′
ℹ️ Karim Konaté
VAR: Goal cancelled
78′
🔁 O. Gloukh
↦ S. Koïta
79′
🔁 I. Van der Brempt
↦ A. Ulmer
1–1 A. Gruber
H. Tabaković
90′
91′
🔁 B. Okoh
↦ O. Solet
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

3-4-1-2
1 C. Früchtl G
46 J. Handl D
66 M. Martins D
40 M. Meisl D
26 R. Ranftl M
23 M. Braunöder M
8 J. Holland M
11 M. Polster M
77 A. Jukić F
30 M. Fischer F
25 H. Tabaković F
Bench (7)
17 A. Gruber
10 N. Dovedan
7 C. Keles
99 M. Kos
39 G. Teigl
20 L. Mühl
3 Lucas Galvão

Coach: M. Wimmer

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
70 A. Dedić D
6 S. Baidoo D
22 O. Solet D
17 A. Ulmer D
13 N. Seiwald M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
32 F. Amankwah M
20 S. Koïta F
9 J. Adamu F
Bench (6)
19 K. Konaté
37 O. Gloukh
2 I. Van der Brempt
3 B. Okoh
8 D. Kameri
40 A. Stejskal

Coach: M. Jaissle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.