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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
3–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
3,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
2,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
36%
39%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
82%
57%
Both score Ø 65%
68%
61%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 15
12 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 6. · SK Rapid 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 29 21 7 1 +43 70
2 Sturm Graz 29 19 6 4 +28 63
3 LASK 29 13 11 5 +16 50
4 A. Lustenau 29 10 9 10 -6 39
5 SK Rapid 28 11 5 12 +5 38
6 Austria Vienna 28 10 8 10 +3 38
7 Tirol 29 9 7 13 -9 34
8 A. Klagenfurt 29 10 4 15 -18 34
9 Wolfsberger AC 29 9 6 14 -5 33
10 Hartberg 29 8 6 15 -13 30
11 Ried 29 4 11 14 -19 23
12 Altach 29 5 8 16 -25 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.