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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
FC Emmen
T T T T S
2–0
Full-time
NAC Breda
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 35/3 matches
Win Ø 44%
20%
67%
Points per game
0,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
57%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 34 25 7 2 +51 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 34 23 6 5 +49 75
3 Ajax 34 20 9 5 +48 69
4 AZ Alkmaar 34 20 7 7 +33 67
5 Twente 31 19 7 5 +41 64
6 Sparta Rotterdam 31 18 6 7 +29 60
7 Utrecht 33 13 9 11 -1 48
8 Heerenveen 33 11 9 13 -8 42
9 Waalwijk 34 11 8 15 -14 41
10 Vitesse 34 10 10 14 -5 40
11 Go Ahead Eagles 34 10 10 14 -10 40
12 Nijmegen 34 8 15 11 -3 39
13 For Sittard 34 10 6 18 -23 36
14 Volendam 34 10 6 18 -29 36
15 Excelsior 34 9 5 20 -39 32
16 FC Emmen 35 7 10 18 -31 31
17 Cambuur 34 5 4 25 -43 19
18 Groningen 34 4 6 24 -44 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen NAC Breda
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Ómarsson
↦ A. Omgba
62′
🔁 J. Herrmann
↦ E. Banzuzi
1–0 R. Živković
A. El Messaoudi
62′
66′
🔁 T. Boere
↦ J. van der Sande
67′
🔁 C. Staring
↦ M. Garbett
J. Assehnoun 🔁
↦ J. Antonisse
71′
74′
🔁 S. Agougil
↦ J. Vet
B. Scholte 🔁
↦ A. El Messaoudi
82′
O. Darfalou 🔁
↦ R. Živković
86′
2–0 J. Assehnoun
B. Scholte
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
32 M. van der Hart G
17 M. te Wierik D
5 M. Araujo D
4 J. Veldmate D
18 L. Burnet D
23 A. El Messaoudi M
20 J. Vlak M
77 O. Romeny M
10 M. Diemers M
57 J. Antonisse M
9 R. Živković F
Bench (12)
11 J. Assehnoun
19 B. Scholte
28 O. Darfalou
24 J. Dirksen
15 M. de Lannoy
27 A. Toufiqui
16 K. van Dorp
1 E. Oelschlägel
34 M. Bouchouari
14 D. Vos
29 A. Luzayadio
13 M. Heylen

Coach: D. Lukkien

NAC Breda

4-3-1-2
1 R. Kortsmit G
2 B. Lucassen D
15 C. Martina D
3 A. MacNulty D
5 F. Di Michele Sanchez D
26 M. Garbett M
16 J. Vet M
8 E. Banzuzi M
10 O. Velanas M
28 A. Omgba F
9 J. van der Sande F
Bench (11)
20 E. Ómarsson
19 J. Herrmann
39 T. Boere
32 C. Staring
18 S. Agougil
36 P. van de Merbel
23 R. Besselink
21 M. Rutten
37 A. van Lare
27 T. Marijnissen
24 T. Velthuis

Coach: P. Hyballa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.