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Bundesliga
Referee: F Jäger
Tirol
T T T S T
1–2
Full-time
SK Rapid
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 23%
13%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
40%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Tirol 11. · SK Rapid 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 11 3 2 +23 36
2 Sturm Graz 16 10 4 2 +15 34
3 LASK 16 8 5 3 +8 29
4 Hartberg 16 7 5 4 +5 26
5 A. Klagenfurt 16 6 7 3 +0 25
6 Wolfsberger AC 16 6 5 5 +1 23
7 SK Rapid 15 5 6 4 +12 21
8 Austria Vienna 16 5 5 6 +0 20
9 BW Linz 16 4 5 7 -10 17
10 Altach 15 3 4 8 -13 13
11 Tirol 15 2 2 11 -14 8
12 A. Lustenau 15 0 3 12 -27 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Aug -23 SK Rapid – Tirol 1–1 12. Mar -23 SK Rapid – Tirol 2–0 1. Oct -22 Tirol – SK Rapid 0–5 29. May -22 SK Rapid – Tirol 2–0 26. May -22 Tirol – SK Rapid 1–2

Match report

Tirol SK Rapid
17′
🟨 Leopold Querfeld
25′
🟨 Matthias Seidl
Luca Kronberger 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–1
50′
⚽ M. Seidl 0–1
N. Kühn
Julius Ertlthaler 🟨
61′
A. Buksa 🔁
↦ J. Ertlthaler
64′
S. Ogrinec 🔁
↦ L. Kronberger
65′
73′
🔁 O. Strunz
↦ N. Kühn
74′
⚽ M. Grüll 0–2
T. Kongolo
D. Štumberger 🔁
↦ K. Schulz
76′
C. Üstündag 🔁
↦ B. Blume
76′
Mahamadou Diarra ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
79′
86′
ℹ️ Terence Kongolo
VAR: Card upgrade
87′
🟥 Terence Kongolo
J. Forst 🔁
↦ S. Ogrinec
89′
90′
🔁 T. Schick
↦ N. Kasanwirjo
90′
🔁 R. Kerschbaum
↦ M. Seidl
90′
🔁 M. Moormann
↦ G. Burgstaller
0–3 M. Moormann ⚽
own goal
91′
96′
🟨 Lukas Grgić
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Tirol

4-3-2-1
40 A. Stejskal G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
44 K. Schulz D
30 M. Taferner M
10 B. Blume M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
9 N. Prelec M
7 L. Kronberger M
8 M. Diarra F
Bench (7)
11 A. Buksa
98 S. Ogrinec
26 D. Štumberger
20 C. Üstündag
19 J. Forst
13 B. Ozegovic
3 D. Gugganig

Coach: T. Silberberger

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
6 N. Kasanwirjo D
43 L. Querfeld D
15 T. Kongolo D
23 J. Auer D
34 N. Sattlberger M
8 L. Grgić M
10 N. Kühn M
18 M. Seidl M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
7 O. Strunz
13 T. Schick
5 R. Kerschbaum
26 M. Moormann
25 P. Gartler
24 D. Kaygin
16 T. Gale

Coach: R. Klauß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Jäger · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.