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DFB-Pokal
Referee: P Ittrich
2–0
Full-time
Nurnberg
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
This season — DFB-Pokal · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
5,0
7,5
Scored
4,0
6,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+4,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 8. · Nurnberg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Nurnberg 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 Paderborn 2 2 0 0 +9 6
4 M'gladbach 2 2 0 0 +9 6
5 Ein Frankfurt 2 2 0 0 +9 6
6 Hertha 2 2 0 0 +8 6
7 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Kaiserslautern 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 St Pauli 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Stuttgart 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 FC 08 Homburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 FC Saarbrücken 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Holstein Kiel 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Hamburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Magdeburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +6 3
19 Bayern Munich 2 1 0 1 +3 3
20 Union Berlin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
21 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 SpVgg Unterhaching 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 FC Viktoria Koln 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Mainz 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Bielefeld 2 0 2 0 +0 2
31 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FSV Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Hansa Rostock 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Sandhausen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 FC Astoria Walldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
55 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
56 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
57 TuS RW Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
58 Makkabi 1 0 0 1 -6 0
59 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -7 0
60 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
61 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -7 0
62 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Rostocker FC 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Nurnberg
11′
🟨 Taylan Duman
Nikola Soldo 🟨
18′
Jean Zimmer 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🔁 N. Brown
↦ L. Schleimer
R. Ache 🔁
↦ T. Boyd
64′
1–0 R. Tachie
J. Zimmer
75′
78′
🔁 F. Lohkemper
↦ T. Duman
78′
🔁 E. Wekesser
↦ T. Handwerker
2–0 R. Ache
R. Tachie
78′
80′
🟨 Erik Wekesser
E. Durm 🔁
↦ J. Zimmer
84′
84′
🔁 J. Geis
↦ K. Okunuki
K. Redondo 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
88′
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ R. Tachie
88′
Boris Tomiak 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
18 J. Krahl G
6 A. Touré D
14 N. Soldo D
33 J. Elvedi D
8 J. Zimmer M
2 B. Tomiak M
20 T. Raschl M
15 T. Puchacz M
29 R. Tachie F
7 M. Ritter F
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
9 R. Ache
37 E. Durm
11 K. Redondo
23 P. Hercher
4 A. Aremu
1 A. Luthe
10 P. Klement
19 D. Hanslik
5 K. Kraus

Coach: D. Grammozis

Nurnberg

4-3-3
26 C. Mathenia G
28 J. Gyamerah D
3 A. Gürleyen D
19 F. Hübner D
29 T. Handwerker D
8 T. Duman M
6 F. Flick M
36 L. Schleimer M
14 B. Goller F
9 D. Hayashi F
11 K. Okunuki F
Bench (9)
27 N. Brown
7 F. Lohkemper
13 E. Wekesser
5 J. Geis
38 J. Horn
1 C. Klaus
22 E. Valentini
10 M. Møller Dæhli
15 Iván Márquez

Coach: C. Fiél

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.