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Bundesliga
Referee: C Jäeger
Hartberg
U S T S S
1–0
Full-time
SK Rapid
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
46%
31%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
77%
46%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 23
1 Shots on target 12
0 Blocked shots 5
12 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 12
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 4. · SK Rapid 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 13 9 2 2 +21 29
2 Sturm Graz 13 8 3 2 +10 27
3 LASK 13 7 4 2 +9 25
4 Hartberg 13 6 4 3 +5 22
5 A. Klagenfurt 13 5 6 2 +2 21
6 SK Rapid 13 4 6 3 +12 18
7 Austria Vienna 13 5 3 5 +1 18
8 Wolfsberger AC 13 4 5 4 +0 17
9 Altach 13 3 4 6 -8 13
10 BW Linz 13 3 4 6 -11 13
11 Tirol 13 1 2 10 -17 5
12 A. Lustenau 13 0 3 10 -24 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.