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DFB-Pokal
Referee: R Hartmann
Magdeburg
U T T S S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
5,3
Scored
1,8
3,5
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — DFB-Pokal · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
6,5
Scored
2,5
4,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
12 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 17. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Nurnberg 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 Paderborn 2 2 0 0 +9 6
4 M'gladbach 2 2 0 0 +9 6
5 Ein Frankfurt 2 2 0 0 +9 6
6 Hertha 2 2 0 0 +8 6
7 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Kaiserslautern 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 St Pauli 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Stuttgart 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 FC 08 Homburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 FC Saarbrücken 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Holstein Kiel 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Hamburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Magdeburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
18 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +6 3
19 Bayern Munich 2 1 0 1 +3 3
20 Union Berlin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
21 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 FC Koln 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 SpVgg Unterhaching 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 FC Viktoria Koln 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Mainz 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Bielefeld 2 0 2 0 +0 2
31 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FSV Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Hansa Rostock 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Sandhausen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 FC Astoria Walldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
55 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
56 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
57 TuS RW Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
58 Makkabi 1 0 0 1 -6 0
59 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -7 0
60 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
61 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -7 0
62 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Rostocker FC 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–0 B. Atik
Daniel Elfadli
15′
Half-time 1–0
Daniel Elfadli 🟨
53′
T. Ito 🔁
↦ X. Amaechi
62′
A. Nollenberger 🔁
↦ L. Castaignos
63′
Barış Atik 🟨
65′
70′
🔁 D. Jastrzembski
↦ E. Iyoha
70′
🔁 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
↦ F. Klaus
A. Arslan 🔁
↦ B. Atik
81′
A. Hoti 🔁
↦ A. Condé
81′
85′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ C. Tzolis
85′
🔁 D. Ginczek
↦ A. Tanaka
87′
J. Niemiec 1–1
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
88′
🟨 Jamil Siebert
92′
J. Niemiec 1–2
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-2-1
1 D. Reimann G
2 C. Piccini D
6 Daniel Elfadli D
15 D. Heber D
7 H. Bockhorn M
25 S. Gnaka M
29 A. Condé M
19 L. Bell Bell M
20 X. Amaechi F
23 B. Atik F
9 L. Castaignos F
Bench (9)
37 T. Ito
17 A. Nollenberger
8 A. Arslan
3 A. Hoti
34 T. Chahed
13 C. Krempicki
16 J. Fabisch
30 N. Kruth
5 J. Lawrence

Coach: C. Titz

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-3-3
1 K. Niemczycki G
15 T. Oberdorf D
20 J. Siebert D
30 J. de Wijs D
19 E. Iyoha D
23 S. Appelkamp M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
4 A. Tanaka M
11 F. Klaus F
9 V. Vermeij F
7 C. Tzolis F
Bench (8)
27 D. Jastrzembski
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
18 J. Niemiec
10 D. Ginczek
2 T. Uchino
35 D. Bunk
46 S. Suso
33 F. Kastenmeier

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.