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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Pau FC
U S S S U
3–1
Full-time
Valenciennes
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,5
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
44%
6%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
69%
31%
Both score Ø 44%
56%
31%
Average goals
3,4
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,6
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 5. · Valenciennes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 16 10 3 3 +8 33
2 Angers 16 9 4 3 +12 31
3 Auxerre 16 8 5 3 +15 29
4 Grenoble 16 7 7 2 +5 28
5 Pau FC 16 7 5 4 +1 26
6 Guingamp 16 6 6 4 +7 24
7 St Etienne 16 7 3 6 +1 24
8 Ajaccio 16 6 6 4 +1 24
9 Rodez 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 Amiens 16 6 5 5 -2 23
11 Paris FC 16 6 2 8 -2 20
12 Caen 16 5 4 7 +0 19
13 Annecy 16 4 7 5 -3 19
14 Concarneau 16 5 4 7 -5 19
15 Bordeaux 16 5 4 7 -6 19
16 Bastia 16 4 5 7 -6 17
17 Troyes 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Dunkerque 16 3 4 9 -11 13
19 Quevilly Rouen 16 2 6 8 -5 12
20 Valenciennes 16 1 8 7 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Valenciennes
L. Mouton 🔁
↦ S. Beusnard
12′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 N. Venema
↦ A. Boutoutaou
1–0 M. Sylla
48′
48′
N. Venema 1–1
M. Bassouamina 🔁
↦ Y. Njoh
59′
H. Saivet 🔁
↦ O. Ngom
60′
J. Obiang 🔁
↦ T. Koudou
60′
72′
🔁 I. Diallo
↦ A. Jung
72′
🔁 U. Bonnet
↦ M. Lilepo
2–1 M. Bassouamina
M. Sylla
72′
O. Kanté 🔁
↦ A. Batisse
74′
83′
🔁 M. Noubissi
↦ S. Basse
83′
🔁 J. Kalai
↦ T. Lienard
3–1 M. Sylla
J. Obiang
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Pau FC

3-5-2
1 B. Kamara G
17 A. Batisse D
22 A. Ahoussou D
25 J. Ruiz D
2 T. Koudou M
21 S. Beusnard M
6 S. D'Almeida M
18 O. Ngom M
70 C. Boli M
30 Y. Njoh F
7 M. Sylla F
Bench (7)
13 L. Mouton
11 M. Bassouamina
8 H. Saivet
23 J. Obiang
19 O. Kanté
33 T. Colléaux
40 M. Jeannin

Coach: N. Usaï

Valenciennes

5-4-1
16 J. Louchet G
35 T. Lienard D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
5 J. Poha D
15 L. Woudenberg D
3 S. Basse D
34 M. Lilepo M
23 D. Kruse M
8 S. Bansé M
17 A. Boutoutaou M
18 A. Jung F
Bench (7)
10 N. Venema
31 I. Diallo
11 U. Bonnet
9 M. Noubissi
29 J. Kalai
47 T. Diagouraga
30 L. Diabaté

Coach: Jorge Maciel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,37
B
3,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.