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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
LASK
U T U S T
3–1
Full-time
Salzburg
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
0,7
3,0
Scored
0,2
2,7
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,3
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 54%
40%
68%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
24%
40%
Both score Ø 34%
32%
36%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

32% Possession 68%
13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 3. · Salzburg 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 25 17 6 2 +38 57
2 Sturm Graz 25 15 7 3 +26 52
3 LASK 25 10 9 6 +8 39
4 SK Rapid 25 9 11 5 +20 38
5 Austria Vienna 25 9 9 7 +3 36
6 Hartberg 25 9 8 8 -2 35
7 A. Klagenfurt 25 8 11 6 -3 35
8 Wolfsberger AC 25 8 9 8 -3 33
9 Altach 25 4 10 11 -13 22
10 BW Linz 25 4 10 11 -16 22
11 Tirol 25 5 4 16 -21 19
12 A. Lustenau 25 2 6 17 -37 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Mar -24 LASK – Salzburg 0–1 21. Oct -23 Salzburg – LASK 0–1 14. May -23 LASK – Salzburg 0–1 16. Apr -23 Salzburg – LASK 0–0 12. Mar -23 LASK – Salzburg 0–2

Match report

LASK Salzburg
9′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
Filip Stojković ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
16′
1–0 M. Ljubičić ⚽
18′
2–0 M. Ljubičić ⚽
F. Flecker
26′
Half-time 2–0
60′
🔁 A. Dedić
↦ A. Terzić
60′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ S. Koïta
61′
🔁 A. Forson
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
Andrés Andrade 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ K. Konaté
3–0 M. Ljubičić ⚽
G. Bello
73′
Marin Ljubičić ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
75′
Branko Jovičić 🟨
77′
A. Taoui 🔁
↦ M. Usor
81′
E. Havel 🔁
↦ M. Ljubičić
81′
84′
⚽ N. Dorgeles 3–1
L. Sučić
L. Pintor 🔁
↦ F. Flecker
85′
M. Talovierov 🔁
↦ V. Berisha
86′
Tobias Okiki Lawal 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

LASK

4-3-3
1 T. Lawal G
22 F. Stojković D
5 P. Ziereis D
16 A. Andrade D
33 F. Luckeneder D
18 B. Jovičić M
14 V. Berisha M
2 G. Bello M
17 M. Usor F
9 M. Ljubičić F
29 F. Flecker F
Bench (7)
44 A. Taoui
24 E. Havel
19 L. Pintor
4 M. Talovierov
37 L. Copado
25 S. Ba
28 J. Siebenhandl

Coach: T. Darazs

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
3 A. Terzić D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
29 D. Guindo D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
10 L. Sučić M
30 O. Gloukh M
19 K. Konaté F
20 S. Koïta F
Bench (7)
70 A. Dedić
21 P. Ratkov
32 A. Forson
45 N. Dorgeles
15 M. Diambou
41 J. Krumrey
25 F. Daniliuc

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Harkam · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.