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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

Sturm Graz

S T U U S

0–1

Full-time

Salzburg

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 66%

61%

70%

Points per game

2,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 42%

48%

35%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,7

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

7 Shots 9

0 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 0

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 5

2 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Salzburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	23	16	5	2	+37	53
2	Sturm Graz	23	14	7	2	+26	49
3	LASK	24	10	9	5	+9	39
4	SK Rapid	24	9	10	5	+20	37
5	Austria Vienna	24	9	8	7	+3	35
6	Hartberg	24	9	7	8	-2	34
7	A. Klagenfurt	24	8	10	6	-3	34
8	Wolfsberger AC	24	8	8	8	-3	32
9	Altach	24	4	9	11	-13	21
10	BW Linz	24	4	9	11	-16	21
11	Tirol	24	5	3	16	-21	18
12	A. Lustenau	24	2	5	17	-37	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	9	1	2	+22	28
2	Sturm Graz	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	LASK	12	7	3	2	+9	24
4	Austria Vienna	12	5	6	1	+7	21
5	Hartberg	12	5	4	3	-2	19
6	Wolfsberger AC	12	5	3	4	+3	18
7	SK Rapid	12	3	6	3	+5	15
8	A. Klagenfurt	12	3	6	3	-5	15
9	Altach	12	3	4	5	-2	13
10	BW Linz	12	2	7	3	-3	13
11	Tirol	12	2	2	8	-9	8
12	A. Lustenau	12	1	0	11	-23	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	7	4	0	+15	25
2	Sturm Graz	12	7	4	1	+13	25
3	SK Rapid	12	6	4	2	+15	22
4	A. Klagenfurt	12	5	4	3	+2	19
5	Hartberg	12	4	3	5	+0	15
6	LASK	12	3	6	3	+0	15
7	Austria Vienna	12	4	2	6	-4	14
8	Wolfsberger AC	12	3	5	4	-6	14
9	Tirol	12	3	1	8	-12	10
10	Altach	12	1	5	6	-11	8
11	BW Linz	12	2	2	8	-13	8
12	A. Lustenau	12	1	5	6	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.