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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Sturm Graz
T U U S T
1–0
Full-time
LASK
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,7
0,5
Scored
1,7
0,2
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 50%
58%
42%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
42%
25%
Both score Ø 40%
46%
33%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · LASK 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 24 17 5 2 +38 56
2 Sturm Graz 24 14 7 3 +25 49
3 LASK 24 10 9 5 +9 39
4 SK Rapid 24 9 10 5 +20 37
5 Austria Vienna 25 9 9 7 +3 36
6 Hartberg 24 9 7 8 -2 34
7 A. Klagenfurt 24 8 10 6 -3 34
8 Wolfsberger AC 25 8 9 8 -3 33
9 Altach 25 4 10 11 -13 22
10 BW Linz 25 4 10 11 -16 22
11 Tirol 25 5 4 16 -21 19
12 A. Lustenau 25 2 6 17 -37 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Nov -23 LASK – Sturm Graz 3–1 5. Aug -23 Sturm Graz – LASK 2–0 3. Jun -23 Sturm Graz – LASK 2–0 9. Apr -23 LASK – Sturm Graz 2–1 13. Nov -22 LASK – Sturm Graz 1–1

Match report

Sturm Graz LASK
1–0 A. Prass ⚽
W. Bøving
20′
35′
🟨 Moses Usor
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ M. Ljubičić
61′
🔁 L. Pintor
↦ S. Horvath
61′
🔁 F. Flecker
↦ F. Stojković
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
65′
David Affengruber 🟨
70′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
78′
A. Camara 🔁
↦ W. Bøving
78′
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
78′
86′
🟨 Branko Jovičić
88′
🔁 A. Taoui
↦ B. Jovičić
88′
🔁 S. Ba
↦ G. Bello
N. Geyrhofer 🔁
↦ A. Prass
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
19 T. Horvat M
24 D. Lavalée M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
18 M. Biereth F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (7)
20 S. Jatta
2 M. Johnston
36 A. Camara
25 S. Hierländer
35 N. Geyrhofer
31 L. Marić
9 S. Włodarczyk

Coach: C. Ilzer

LASK

3-4-1-2
1 T. Lawal G
4 M. Talovierov D
16 A. Andrade D
33 F. Luckeneder D
22 F. Stojković M
30 S. Horvath M
18 B. Jovičić M
2 G. Bello M
17 M. Usor F
24 E. Havel F
9 M. Ljubičić F
Bench (7)
14 V. Berisha
19 L. Pintor
29 F. Flecker
44 A. Taoui
25 S. Ba
28 J. Siebenhandl
35 S. Leitner

Coach: T. Sageder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.