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Bundesliga

Referee: D Pfister

Salzburg

S S U U T

5–0

Full-time

Grazer AK

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,18 xG 0,46

75% Possession 25%

26 Shots 2

6 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 1

5 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Salzburg 8. · Grazer AK 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.1	6
2	Tirol	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
3	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
4	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
6	Grazer AK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
7	Austria Vienna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
8	Salzburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
9	Ried	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.4	1
10	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.2	0
11	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
12	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tirol	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
2	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
3	Altach	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
4	Grazer AK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
5	Ried	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
6	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
7	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
8	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
2	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
4	Austria Vienna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
5	Salzburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
6	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
7	Ried	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.