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Primeira Liga
Referee: D Silva
Nacional
T U T U T
0–2
Full-time
Gil Vicente
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nacional Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,79 xG 0,62
60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Apr -25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–3 7. Dec -24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 19. Mar -21 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–0 8. Nov -20 Nacional – Gil Vicente 2–1

Match report

Nacional Gil Vicente
35′
⚽ Pablo 0–1
S. Hevertton
42′
🟨 Mohamed Bamba
45′
⚽ L. Esteves 0–2
M. Fernandez
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 Ze Carlos
↦ S. Hevertton
46′
🔁 Ze Carlos
↦ M. Bamba
Filipe Soares 🟨
63′
64′
🔁 S. Garcia
↦ F. Caseres
J. Silva 🔁
↦ F. Soares
65′
A. Sousa 🔁
↦ Jose Gomes
73′
L. Vallier 🔁
↦ Liziero
73′
73′
🔁 R. Rodrigues
↦ M. Fernandez
76′
🟨 Zé Carlos
77′
🟨 Andrew
82′
🟨 Zé Carlos
82′
🔁 G. Varela
↦ Bermejo
Ulisses 🟨
93′
94′
🟨 Pablo Felipe
Jesús Ramírez 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Rodrigo Rodrigues
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Nacional

4-3-3
37 Lucas Franca G
2 J. Aurelio D
4 Ulisses D
34 Leo Santos D
5 Jose Gomes D
28 Liziero M
6 Matheus Dias M
22 F. Soares M
11 Paulinho Boia F
9 J. Ramirez F
7 Witi F
Bench (9)
1 Kaique Pereira
16 A. Nunez
18 A. Sousa
20 Jota Garces
24 L. Vallier
26 J. Silva
30 Watts
33 C. Goncalves
48 Josue

Coach: Tiago Margarido

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
42 A. da Silva Ventura G
20 S. Hevertton D
4 M. Elimbi D
39 J. Buatu D
3 G. Konan D
8 M. Bamba M
5 F. Caseres M
17 Bermejo M
10 L. Esteves M
32 M. Fernandez M
9 Pablo F
Bench (9)
99 Figueira Daniel
2 Ze Carlos
6 Ze Carlos
16 G. Beleza
27 A. Moreira
48 A. Espigares
80 R. Rodrigues
89 G. Varela
95 S. Garcia

Coach: Cesar Peixoto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
🔒
U
3,15
🔒
B ✓
2,84
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,09
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,67
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Silva · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.