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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Guingamp
T S U S T
3–3
Full-time
Le Mans
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Le Mans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Feb -20 Le Mans – Guingamp 2–1 30. Sep -19 Guingamp – Le Mans 3–0

Match report

Guingamp Le Mans
18′
⚽ E. Quarshie 0–1
A. Rabillard
Dylan Ourega 🟨
30′
40′
⚽ A. Ribelin 0–2
M. Robin
Half-time 0–2
48′
🟨 Samuel Yohou
A. Abdallah 🔁
↦ D. Ourega
58′
J. Hatchi 🔁
↦ E. Koffi
58′
L. Mafouta 🔁
↦ K. Sidibe
58′
66′
🔁 B. Guillaume
↦ D. Gueye
67′
🔁 L. Abanda
↦ L. Calodat
67′
🔁 M. Rossignol
↦ E. Quarshie
D. N'Landu 🔁
↦ D. Louiserre
68′
1–2 A. Demouchy ⚽
A. Hemia
72′
Jacques Siwe 🟨
74′
J. Matumona 🔁
↦ J. Siwe
78′
78′
🔁 W. Harhouz
↦ A. Rabillard
83′
🔁 N. Boisse
↦ S. Yohou
2–2 D. Gomis ⚽
J. Hatchi
87′
3–2 L. Mafouta ⚽
D. N'Landu
90′
90′
⚽ W. Harhouz 3–3
L. Abanda
Louis Mafouta 🟨
99′
101′
🟨 William Harhouz
102′
🟨 William Harhouz
102′
🟥 William Harhouz
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
36 A. Demouchy D
23 D. Ourega D
2 E. Koffi M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibe M
24 G. Ott M
10 A. Hemia F
17 J. Siwe F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
29 A. Abdallah
3 J. Matumona
6 D. N'Landu
39 T. Ahile
20 J. Hatchi
9 L. Mafouta

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Le Mans

3-1-4-2
98 N. Kocik G
21 T. Eyoum D
17 S. Yohou D
5 H. Voyer D
6 E. Quarshie M
12 A. Ribelin M
10 J. Vercruysse M
24 M. Robin M
22 L. Calodat M
25 D. Gueye F
9 A. Rabillard F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
11 L. Abanda
31 N. Boisse
27 M. Rossignol
19 B. Guillaume
20 W. Harhouz
23 T. Luvambo

Coach: Patrick Videira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,65
🔒
U ✓
3,63
🔒
B
4,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
U2,5
1,80
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.