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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Salzburg
T U S T S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Austria Vienna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,94 xG 1,20
53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 0
2 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 3. · Austria Vienna 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 27 14 5 8 +12 +6.8 47
2 LASK 27 13 6 8 +4 +11.1 45
3 Salzburg 27 12 8 7 +17 +9.0 44
4 SK Rapid 27 11 8 8 +2 -2.2 41
5 Austria Vienna 27 12 4 11 -3 +0.7 40
6 Ried 28 11 6 11 -2 +0.1 39
7 Altach 28 9 11 8 +1 -5.7 38
8 Hartberg 27 8 12 7 +3 -9.6 36
9 Tirol 28 9 9 10 -7 +1.6 36
10 Grazer AK 28 7 9 12 -9 -2.1 30
11 Wolfsberger AC 28 7 8 13 -8 -14.5 29
12 BW Linz 28 7 4 17 -10 +4.7 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg Austria Vienna
Maurits Kjaergaard 🟨
6′
1–0 Y. Vertessen
F. Kratzig
16′
2–0 J. Schuster
M. Kjaergaard
22′
34′
R. Ranftl 2–1
M. Fischer
41′
🟨 Philipp Maybach
Half-time 2–1
59′
🔁 T. Plavotic
↦ J. Handl
59′
🔁 F. Wustinger
↦ P. Maybach
59′
🔁 S. Saljic
↦ V. Markovic
Kerim Alajbegović 🟨
72′
M. K. Yeo 🔁
↦ K. Alajbegovic
72′
K. Onisiwo 🔁
↦ K. Konate
73′
2–2 S. Sahin-Radlinger
own goal
76′
78′
🟨 Lee Kang-hee
79′
🔁 M. Schablas
↦ Lee Tae-Seok
A. Terzic 🔁
↦ F. Kratzig
80′
E. Aguilar 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
80′
82′
🔁 A. Kante
↦ K. Boateng
S. Diabate 🔁
↦ M. Kjaergaard
87′
90′
🟨 Tin Plavotić
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-1-4-1
1 A. Schlager G
37 T. Trummer D
44 J. Schuster D
21 T. Drexler D
13 F. Kratzig D
18 M. Bidstrup M
11 Y. Vertessen M
8 S. Kitano M
14 M. Kjaergaard M
27 K. Alajbegovic M
19 K. Konate F
Bench (9)
52 C. Zawieschitzky
3 A. Terzic
91 A. Chase
5 S. Diabate
9 K. Onisiwo
49 M. K. Yeo
43 E. Aguilar
23 J. Gadou
20 E. Baidoo

Coach: Daniel Beichler

Austria Vienna

3-4-2-1
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
46 J. Handl D
15 A. Dragovic D
28 P. Wiesinger D
26 R. Ranftl M
16 Lee Kang-Hee M
6 P. Maybach M
17 Lee Tae-Seok M
30 M. Fischer F
36 V. Markovic F
14 K. Boateng F
Bench (9)
99 M. Kos
24 T. Plavotic
7 R. Vucic
22 F. Wustinger
20 S. Saljic
60 D. Radonjic
37 D. Nnodim
47 A. Kante
40 M. Schablas

Coach: Stephan Helm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.