La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | +54 | +39.6 | 79 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | +37 | +34.2 | 73 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | +20 | +9.9 | 61 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | +18 | +7.9 | 57 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | +8 | +9.5 | 49 |
| 6 |
Celta
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +4 | +3.5 | 44 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | +1 | -1.2 | 42 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | -5 | -10.2 | 41 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | -11 | +8.3 | 41 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -2 | -3.2 | 39 |
| 11 |
Espanol
|
31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -11 | -4.3 | 38 |
| 12 |
Girona
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -13 | -11.1 | 38 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -12 | +3.4 | 36 |
| 14 |
Elche
|
32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -7 | -18.8 | 35 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | -9 | -17.5 | 35 |
| 16 |
Vallecano
|
31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | -9 | +3.6 | 35 |
| 17 |
Sevilla
|
31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | -12 | -17.0 | 34 |
| 18 |
Alaves
|
32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -12 | -3.9 | 33 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -15 | -12.9 | 29 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -24 | -19.7 | 27 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Remiro
G
A. Elustondo
D
J. Martin
D
D. Caleta-Car
D
A. Munoz
D
J. Gorrotxategi
M
C. Soler
M
T. Kubo
M
P. Marin
M
O. Oskarsson
F
Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo
D. Soria
G
Kiko Femenia
D
S. Boselli
D
A. Abqar
D
Djene
D
J. Iglesias
D
M. Martin
M
L. Milla
M
L. Vazquez
F
M. Satriano
F
Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Madrid
Sociedad
Sociedad
Alaves
Sociedad
Levante
Villarreal
Sociedad
Sociedad
Osasuna
M Busquets · 15 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.