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Bundesliga

Referee: A Talic

Sturm Graz

S U S U U

1–1

Full-time

LASK

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz LASK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 50%

52%

48%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 54%

52%

56%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,80 xG 0,75

72% Possession 28%

21 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · LASK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	28	13	8	7	+19	+9.7	47
2	Sturm Graz	27	14	5	8	+12	+6.8	47
3	LASK	27	13	6	8	+4	+11.1	45
4	SK Rapid	28	11	8	9	+0	-0.4	41
5	Austria Vienna	28	12	4	12	-5	-0.0	40
6	Hartberg	28	9	12	7	+5	-11.4	39
7	Ried	28	11	6	11	-2	+0.1	39
8	Altach	28	9	11	8	+1	-5.7	38
9	Tirol	28	9	9	10	-7	+1.6	36
10	Grazer AK	28	7	9	12	-9	-2.1	30
11	Wolfsberger AC	28	7	8	13	-8	-14.5	29
12	BW Linz	28	7	4	17	-10	+4.7	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	14	7	6	1	+7	+1.0	27
2	LASK	14	8	3	3	+6	+9.1	27
3	Ried	14	7	3	4	+2	+2.8	24
4	Tirol	14	6	4	4	+2	+3.2	22
5	Salzburg	14	6	3	5	+8	+5.1	21
6	Grazer AK	14	5	6	3	+2	+1.7	21
7	SK Rapid	14	6	2	6	+0	-0.6	20
8	BW Linz	14	6	1	7	+5	+6.6	19
9	Wolfsberger AC	14	4	6	4	+2	-3.6	18
10	Sturm Graz	13	5	3	5	-2	+2.6	18
11	Austria Vienna	14	5	3	6	-6	+0.8	18
12	Hartberg	14	4	5	5	+0	-2.9	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	14	9	2	3	+14	+4.3	29
2	Salzburg	14	7	5	2	+11	+4.7	26
3	Hartberg	14	5	7	2	+5	-8.4	22
4	Austria Vienna	14	7	1	6	+1	-0.8	22
5	SK Rapid	14	5	6	3	+0	+0.2	21
6	LASK	13	5	3	5	-2	+2.1	18
7	Ried	14	4	3	7	-4	-2.6	15
8	Tirol	14	3	5	6	-9	-1.5	14
9	Altach	14	2	5	7	-6	-6.7	11
10	Wolfsberger AC	14	3	2	9	-10	-10.9	11
11	Grazer AK	14	2	3	9	-11	-3.8	9
12	BW Linz	14	1	3	10	-15	-1.9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.