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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Luzern

U T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Zurich

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

2,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-2,3

This season — Super League · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 35%

35%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

62%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

41%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 5. · Zurich 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	34	21	7	6	+36	70
2	St. Gallen	34	20	5	9	+19	65
3	Basel	34	18	6	10	+36	60
4	Servette	34	12	13	9	+12	49
5	Luzern	34	12	6	16	-9	42
6	Zurich	34	12	6	16	-26	42
7	Lugano	34	9	14	11	-3	41
8	Sion	34	9	9	16	-15	36
9	Thun	34	10	6	18	-22	36
10	Xamax	34	5	12	17	-28	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	17	15	2	0	+34	47
2	Basel	17	11	3	3	+25	36
3	St. Gallen	17	10	2	5	+7	32
4	Servette	17	8	7	2	+15	31
5	Luzern	17	7	4	6	+2	25
6	Thun	17	7	3	7	-3	24
7	Lugano	17	5	8	4	-1	23
8	Zurich	17	7	2	8	-15	23
9	Sion	17	4	6	7	-5	18
10	Xamax	17	2	5	10	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	17	10	3	4	+12	33
2	Basel	17	7	3	7	+11	24
3	Young Boys	17	6	5	6	+2	23
4	Zurich	17	5	4	8	-11	19
5	Lugano	17	4	6	7	-2	18
6	Servette	17	4	6	7	-3	18
7	Sion	17	5	3	9	-10	18
8	Luzern	17	5	2	10	-11	17
9	Xamax	17	3	7	7	-18	16
10	Thun	17	3	3	11	-19	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.