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Super League
Referee: F San
Lugano
U U U S U
3–1
Full-time
Servette
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
4,2
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Super League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 31%
26%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
62%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
7 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 7. · Servette 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 34 21 7 6 +36 70
2 St. Gallen 34 20 5 9 +19 65
3 Basel 34 18 6 10 +36 60
4 Servette 34 12 13 9 +12 49
5 Luzern 34 12 6 16 -9 42
6 Zurich 34 12 6 16 -26 42
7 Lugano 34 9 14 11 -3 41
8 Sion 34 9 9 16 -15 36
9 Thun 34 10 6 18 -22 36
10 Xamax 34 5 12 17 -28 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.