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Serie B

Salernitana

T S U T U

1–2

Full-time

Spezia

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 41%

38%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

41%

49%

Both score Ø 57%

62%

51%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

13 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 9. · Spezia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	37	25	8	4	+38	83
2	Crotone	37	20	8	9	+25	68
3	Spezia	37	16	10	11	+13	58
4	Pordenone	37	16	9	12	+2	57
5	Cittadella	37	16	7	14	-1	55
6	Chievo	37	13	14	10	+9	53
7	Pisa	37	14	11	12	+4	53
8	Frosinone	37	14	11	12	+3	53
9	Salernitana	37	14	10	13	+4	52
10	Empoli	37	13	12	12	-3	51
11	Cremonese	37	12	12	13	-1	48
12	Virtus Entella	37	12	12	13	-3	48
13	Venezia	37	11	14	12	-5	47
14	Ascoli	37	13	7	17	-6	46
15	Pescara	37	12	9	16	-6	45
16	Perugia	37	12	9	16	-9	45
17	Cosenza	37	11	10	16	-1	43
18	Trapani	37	10	13	14	-14	43
19	Juve Stabia	37	11	8	18	-14	41
20	Livorno	37	5	6	26	-35	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	19	14	4	1	+30	46
2	Crotone	19	12	5	2	+19	41
3	Pordenone	19	11	5	3	+13	38
4	Salernitana	18	10	6	2	+13	36
5	Pisa	19	10	5	4	+8	35
6	Spezia	19	10	4	5	+12	34
7	Frosinone	18	10	4	4	+11	34
8	Ascoli	18	9	5	4	+7	32
9	Chievo	18	9	4	5	+10	31
10	Virtus Entella	18	8	6	4	+4	30
11	Juve Stabia	19	9	3	7	+1	30
12	Pescara	19	7	8	4	+8	29
13	Empoli	19	7	8	4	+3	29
14	Trapani	18	7	6	5	+5	27
15	Cremonese	18	7	5	6	+3	26
16	Perugia	19	7	5	7	+0	26
17	Cittadella	19	7	4	8	-3	25
18	Cosenza	18	5	5	8	-3	20
19	Venezia	18	4	6	8	-8	18
20	Livorno	18	3	2	13	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	18	11	4	3	+8	37
2	Cittadella	18	9	3	6	+2	30
3	Venezia	19	7	8	4	+3	29
4	Crotone	18	8	3	7	+6	27
5	Spezia	18	6	6	6	+1	24
6	Cosenza	19	6	5	8	+2	23
7	Chievo	19	4	10	5	-1	22
8	Cremonese	19	5	7	7	-4	22
9	Empoli	18	6	4	8	-6	22
10	Frosinone	19	4	7	8	-8	19
11	Perugia	18	5	4	9	-9	19
12	Pordenone	18	5	4	9	-11	19
13	Pisa	18	4	6	8	-4	18
14	Virtus Entella	19	4	6	9	-7	18
15	Salernitana	19	4	4	11	-9	16
16	Pescara	18	5	1	12	-14	16
17	Trapani	19	3	7	9	-19	16
18	Ascoli	19	4	2	13	-13	14
19	Juve Stabia	18	2	5	11	-15	11
20	Livorno	19	2	4	13	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.