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Allsvenskan

Elfsborg

S T S S U

3–3

Full-time

Sirius

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

45%

36%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

45%

55%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

64%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 4. · Sirius 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	12	7	4	1	+13	25
2	Norrkoping	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Djurgarden	12	6	2	4	+6	20
4	Elfsborg	11	5	5	1	+3	20
5	Hacken	12	4	6	2	+10	18
6	Varberg	12	4	4	4	+2	16
7	Sirius	11	4	4	3	+0	16
8	Hammarby	12	4	4	4	-2	16
9	Mjallby	11	4	2	5	-6	14
10	Orebro	12	3	4	5	-5	13
11	AIK	12	3	4	5	-6	13
12	Goteborg	12	2	6	4	-5	12
13	Falkenbergs	12	2	5	5	-5	11
14	Ostersunds	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Helsingborg	12	1	7	4	-7	10
16	Kalmar	12	2	3	7	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Hacken	6	4	2	0	+14	14
3	Malmo FF	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Djurgarden	6	3	2	1	+7	11
5	Hammarby	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Varberg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Elfsborg	5	2	3	0	+2	9
8	Orebro	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Sirius	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Mjallby	5	2	1	2	-3	7
11	Helsingborg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Goteborg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Kalmar	6	1	2	3	+1	5
14	AIK	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Falkenbergs	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Ostersunds	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	3	2	1	+6	11
2	Elfsborg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
3	Ostersunds	6	2	3	1	+0	9
4	Djurgarden	6	3	0	3	-1	9
5	Norrkoping	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Sirius	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Falkenbergs	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	AIK	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Mjallby	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Goteborg	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Varberg	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Orebro	6	1	2	3	-5	5
13	Hammarby	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Hacken	6	0	4	2	-4	4
15	Helsingborg	6	0	4	2	-5	4
16	Kalmar	6	1	1	4	-6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.