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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Luzern

S T S T U

0–1

Full-time

Basel

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 33%

41%

24%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

53%

71%

Both score Ø 68%

71%

65%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,59 xG 1,06

54% Possession 46%

21 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 6. · Basel 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	18	11	5	2	+23	-0.4	38
2	St. Gallen	18	10	3	5	+12	+9.9	33
3	Zurich	18	8	7	3	+14	+1.0	31
4	Servette	17	8	6	3	+8	+9.6	30
5	Lugano	17	8	1	8	+2	+3.5	25
6	Luzern	17	7	4	6	-4	-0.5	25
7	Winterthur	18	6	4	8	-7	-2.1	22
8	Grasshoppers	18	6	3	9	+1	-4.3	21
9	Yverdon	18	5	6	7	-14	-7.3	21
10	Lausanne	18	5	5	8	-5	+1.4	20
11	Basel	17	4	3	10	-11	-6.2	15
12	Lausanne Ouchy	18	2	5	11	-19	-4.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	9	9	0	0	+17	+5.7	27
2	Young Boys	9	7	2	0	+19	+1.7	23
3	Luzern	8	6	1	1	+6	+3.6	19
4	Zurich	9	5	3	1	+7	+0.5	18
5	Winterthur	9	5	2	2	+2	+1.7	17
6	Lugano	9	5	1	3	+3	+1.1	16
7	Servette	8	4	3	1	+7	+3.5	15
8	Lausanne	9	4	3	2	+4	+1.3	15
9	Yverdon	9	4	3	2	-2	+0.1	15
10	Grasshoppers	9	4	2	3	+7	-1.6	14
11	Basel	9	3	2	4	+0	-4.3	11
12	Lausanne Ouchy	9	1	4	4	-10	-0.5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	9	4	3	2	+4	-2.1	15
2	Servette	9	4	3	2	+1	+6.1	15
3	Zurich	9	3	4	2	+7	+0.4	13
4	Lugano	8	3	0	5	-1	+2.4	9
5	Grasshoppers	9	2	1	6	-6	-2.7	7
6	St. Gallen	9	1	3	5	-5	+4.2	6
7	Luzern	9	1	3	5	-10	-4.1	6
8	Yverdon	9	1	3	5	-12	-7.4	6
9	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-9	-3.8	5
10	Lausanne	9	1	2	6	-9	+0.1	5
11	Lausanne Ouchy	9	1	1	7	-9	-4.0	4
12	Basel	8	1	1	6	-11	-1.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.