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Super League
Referee: M Turkes
Yverdon
U T U T T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yverdon Lausanne Ouchy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
69%
63%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
63%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
2,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,48 xG 0,17
61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 0
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Yverdon 9. · Lausanne Ouchy 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 17 10 5 2 +21 +0.2 35
2 Zurich 15 8 6 1 +16 -0.6 30
3 St. Gallen 17 9 3 5 +11 +9.5 30
4 Servette 17 8 6 3 +8 +9.6 30
5 Lugano 17 8 1 8 +2 +3.5 25
6 Luzern 16 7 3 6 -4 +1.4 24
7 Grasshoppers 17 6 2 9 +1 -4.6 20
8 Lausanne 17 5 5 7 -4 +1.7 20
9 Yverdon 16 4 5 7 -15 -8.3 17
10 Winterthur 16 4 4 8 -9 -2.4 16
11 Basel 17 4 3 10 -11 -6.2 15
12 Lausanne Ouchy 16 2 5 9 -16 -3.9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yverdon Lausanne Ouchy
13′
Ismaël Gharbi 0–1
M. Qarri
24′
🟨 Ismael Gharbi
40′
🟨 Dylan Ouedraogo
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 R. Kadima
↦ D. Ouedraogo
61′
🟨 Sahmkou Camara
64′
🔁 F. Danho
↦ A. Ajdini
Mauro Rodrigues 🔁
↦ D. Corness
65′
68′
🟥 Florian Danho
68′
ℹ️ Florian Danho
VAR: Card upgrade
69′
🟨 Mergim Qarri
71′
🔁 L. Mulaj
↦ Ismaël Gharbi
1–1 A. Sauthier
W. Le Pogam
72′
76′
🔁 M. Abdallah
↦ S. Camara
M. Klepač 🔁
↦ Liziero
77′
77′
🔁 R. Bayard
↦ M. Qarri
2–1 M. Tijani
H. Loucif
80′
B. Malula 🔁
↦ H. Loucif
86′
Sebastian Breza 🟨
94′
Kevin Omoruyi 🟨
96′
Varol Tasar 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Yverdon

4-3-3
1 S. Breza G
32 A. Sauthier D
4 D. Del Fabro D
2 M. Tijani D
6 W. Le Pogam D
28 Liziero M
5 B. Céspedes M
10 D. Corness M
12 H. Loucif F
11 Kevin Carlos F
27 V. Tasar F
Bench (8)
7 Mauro Rodrigues
97 M. Klepač
71 B. Malula
23 N. Gunnarsson
22 K. Martin
18 N. Lusuena
45 S. Gouet
17 R. Alves

Coach: A. Mangiarratti

Lausanne Ouchy

5-4-1
1 D. Da Silva G
49 S. Camara D
4 L. Pos D
5 L. Hajrulahu D
19 D. Ouedraogo D
28 E. Mahmoud D
10 M. Qarri M
6 Giovani Bamba M
24 E. Akichi M
14 Ismaël Gharbi M
17 A. Ajdini F
Bench (9)
23 R. Kadima
31 F. Danho
18 L. Mulaj
29 M. Abdallah
8 R. Bayard
20 N. Garcia
9 Z. Hadji
74 J. Vachoux
16 M. Eberhard

Coach: Ricardo Dionísio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Turkes · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.