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Super League

Referee: N Gianforte

Lausanne Ouchy

T T T S T

0–3

Full-time

Luzern

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Ouchy Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

15%

40%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

70%

55%

Both score Ø 70%

70%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

2,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,48 xG 3,29

64% Possession 36%

12 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 7

2 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne Ouchy 12. · Luzern 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	21	13	5	3	+27	+0.6	44
2	Servette	21	10	8	3	+11	+12.7	38
3	St. Gallen	21	11	3	7	+8	+7.8	36
4	Zurich	21	8	9	4	+13	+1.4	33
5	Lugano	21	9	3	9	+4	+5.7	30
6	Luzern	20	8	4	8	-5	-1.0	28
7	Winterthur	21	7	5	9	-7	-1.3	26
8	Grasshoppers	21	7	4	10	+1	-6.7	25
9	Basel	21	7	4	10	-7	-5.8	25
10	Yverdon	21	6	6	9	-18	-9.2	24
11	Lausanne	21	5	6	10	-7	+2.5	21
12	Lausanne Ouchy	20	3	5	12	-20	-6.6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	11	9	2	0	+24	+3.7	29
2	St. Gallen	11	9	0	2	+12	+3.6	27
3	Luzern	10	7	1	2	+6	+3.0	22
4	Zurich	11	5	5	1	+7	+0.6	20
5	Servette	10	5	4	1	+8	+6.1	19
6	Winterthur	11	5	3	3	+0	+1.7	18
7	Yverdon	10	5	3	2	-1	+0.1	18
8	Grasshoppers	10	5	2	3	+8	-1.9	17
9	Lugano	11	5	2	4	+2	+2.4	17
10	Lausanne	10	4	3	3	+3	+1.3	15
11	Basel	10	4	2	4	+1	-3.3	14
12	Lausanne Ouchy	10	1	4	5	-12	-1.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	11	5	4	2	+3	+6.6	19
2	Young Boys	10	4	3	3	+3	-3.1	15
3	Zurich	10	3	4	3	+6	+0.8	13
4	Lugano	10	4	1	5	+2	+3.4	13
5	Basel	11	3	2	6	-8	-2.5	11
6	St. Gallen	10	2	3	5	-4	+4.2	9
7	Winterthur	10	2	2	6	-7	-2.9	8
8	Grasshoppers	11	2	2	7	-7	-4.8	8
9	Lausanne Ouchy	10	2	1	7	-8	-5.2	7
10	Lausanne	11	1	3	7	-10	+1.1	6
11	Luzern	10	1	3	6	-11	-4.1	6
12	Yverdon	11	1	3	7	-17	-9.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.