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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Basel
T U U T S
2–1
Full-time
Servette
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 40%
32%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
55%
48%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
61%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,20 xG 0,72
40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 10. · Servette 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 31 17 8 6 +32 +2.1 59
2 Lugano 32 17 5 10 +15 +10.4 56
3 Servette 31 15 9 7 +15 +25.7 54
4 Zurich 32 12 12 8 +10 +2.4 48
5 St. Gallen 32 13 8 11 +8 +14.3 47
6 Winterthur 31 12 10 9 -1 -7.2 46
7 Luzern 31 12 7 12 -3 +2.0 43
8 Lausanne 32 10 10 12 -3 +2.0 40
9 Yverdon 32 10 7 15 -24 -19.5 37
10 Basel 31 10 6 15 -11 -4.8 36
11 Grasshoppers 32 8 6 18 -9 -10.1 30
12 Lausanne Ouchy 31 5 8 18 -29 -17.2 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Servette
8′
🔁 T. Nishimura
↦ E. Crivelli
Kevin Rüegg ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
Thierno Barry 🟨
34′
1–0 A. Kade
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 T. Barry
A. Kade
46′
58′
S. Rouiller 2–1
M. Stevanović
64′
🔁 A. Baron
↦ G. Ondoua
G. Sigua 🔁
↦ T. Xhaka
66′
74′
🔁 B. Bolla
↦ D. Kutesa
74′
🔁 J. Guillemenot
↦ A. Antunes
D. Kacuri 🔁
↦ F. Frei
75′
R. Beney 🔁
↦ A. Kade
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Basel

3-4-1-2
1 M. Hitz G
3 N. Vouilloz D
32 J. Adjetey D
25 F. van Breemen D
27 K. Rüegg M
37 L. Avdullahu M
34 T. Xhaka M
31 D. Schmid M
20 F. Frei F
30 A. Kade F
9 T. Barry F
Bench (9)
21 G. Sigua
28 D. Kacuri
35 R. Beney
5 M. Lang
33 J. Gauto
4 Arnau Comas
13 M. Salvi
11 M. Malone
6 M. Dräger

Coach: F. Celestini

Servette

4-4-1-1
1 J. Mall G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
18 B. Mazikou D
9 M. Stevanović M
8 T. Cognat M
5 G. Ondoua M
17 D. Kutesa M
10 A. Antunes F
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (8)
7 T. Nishimura
6 A. Baron
77 B. Bolla
21 J. Guillemenot
20 T. Magnin
25 D. Bronn
28 D. Douline
44 L. Besson

Coach: R. Weiler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 151 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.