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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Basel

S T S T S

1–2

Full-time

Lausanne

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 30%

36%

24%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

64%

Both score Ø 62%

52%

72%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,08 xG 1,32

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 8. · Lausanne 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	25	15	6	4	+28	+1.9	51
2	Servette	26	14	8	4	+16	+16.9	50
3	St. Gallen	26	12	4	10	+5	+12.5	40
4	Zurich	25	10	9	6	+10	+0.1	39
5	Lugano	25	11	4	10	+6	+5.9	37
6	Luzern	25	11	4	10	-2	+1.5	37
7	Winterthur	25	9	7	9	-5	-4.9	34
8	Basel	25	9	4	12	-6	-4.7	31
9	Yverdon	25	8	6	11	-18	-13.9	30
10	Grasshoppers	26	8	5	13	-1	-5.9	29
11	Lausanne	25	6	8	11	-6	+4.4	26
12	Lausanne Ouchy	26	3	7	16	-27	-13.9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	10	2	1	+24	+4.3	32
2	St. Gallen	13	10	1	2	+13	+7.9	31
3	Servette	13	8	4	1	+13	+9.2	28
4	Luzern	12	8	1	3	+6	+2.8	25
5	Yverdon	13	7	3	3	+1	-3.6	24
6	Zurich	12	6	5	1	+8	+1.0	23
7	Lugano	13	6	3	4	+4	+4.9	21
8	Winterthur	12	6	3	3	+1	+0.9	21
9	Grasshoppers	13	6	2	5	+7	-1.0	20
10	Lausanne	13	5	4	4	+4	+2.3	19
11	Basel	12	5	2	5	+1	-3.8	17
12	Lausanne Ouchy	13	1	6	6	-15	-4.5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	13	6	4	3	+3	+7.8	22
2	Young Boys	12	5	4	3	+4	-2.5	19
3	Lugano	12	5	1	6	+2	+0.9	16
4	Zurich	13	4	4	5	+2	-0.9	16
5	Basel	13	4	2	7	-7	-0.8	14
6	Winterthur	13	3	4	6	-6	-5.9	13
7	Luzern	13	3	3	7	-8	-1.3	12
8	St. Gallen	13	2	3	8	-8	+4.6	9
9	Grasshoppers	13	2	3	8	-8	-4.9	9
10	Lausanne	12	1	4	7	-10	+2.1	7
11	Lausanne Ouchy	13	2	1	10	-12	-9.4	7
12	Yverdon	12	1	3	8	-19	-10.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.