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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Leverkusen
T S S S U
4–0
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 45%
54%
35%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
58%
74%
Both score Ø 60%
54%
65%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 5. · Ein Frankfurt 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 16 4 4 +45 52
2 RB Leipzig 24 14 7 3 +36 49
3 Dortmund 24 14 6 4 +34 48
4 M'gladbach 23 14 4 5 +19 46
5 Leverkusen 24 13 5 6 +11 44
6 Schalke 04 24 9 9 6 -3 36
7 Wolfsburg 24 9 8 7 +4 35
8 Hoffenheim 24 10 4 10 -8 34
9 Freiburg 24 9 6 9 -3 33
10 FC Koln 24 10 2 12 -5 32
11 Union Berlin 24 9 3 12 -7 30
12 Ein Frankfurt 23 8 4 11 +1 28
13 Augsburg 24 7 6 11 -14 27
14 Hertha 24 7 6 11 -16 27
15 Mainz 24 8 1 15 -19 25
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 5 6 13 -23 21
17 Werder Bremen 23 4 5 14 -28 17
18 Paderborn 25 4 4 17 -24 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Ein Frankfurt
1–0 K. Havertz
M. Diaby
4′
2–0 K. Bellarabi
Paulinho
14′
J. Tah 🔁
↦ S. Bender
35′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 Paulinho
K. Bellarabi
49′
Mitchell Weiser 🟨
53′
4–0 Paulinho
K. Havertz
55′
57′
🔁 M. Gaćinović
↦ D. Kamada
57′
🔁 D. Sow
↦ D. Kohr
L. Bailey 🔁
↦ K. Havertz
62′
E. Palacios 🔁
↦ C. Aránguiz
67′
74′
🔁 Gonçalo Paciência
↦ André Silva
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
5 S. Bender D
23 M. Weiser D
18 Wendell D
12 E. Tapsoba D
20 C. Aránguiz M
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
38 K. Bellarabi M
29 K. Havertz F
19 M. Diaby M
7 Paulinho M
Bench (9)
4 J. Tah
9 L. Bailey
25 E. Palacios
28 R. Özcan
13 L. Alario
10 K. Demirbay
22 D. Sinkgraven
6 A. Dragović
30 A. Stanilewicz

Coach: P. Bosz

Ein Frankfurt

4-2-3-1
1 K. Trapp G
20 M. Hasebe M
13 M. Hinteregger D
18 A. Touré D
2 O. N'Dicka D
3 S. Ilsanker D
17 S. Rode M
10 F. Kostić M
28 D. Kohr M
15 D. Kamada M
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
11 M. Gaćinović
8 D. Sow
39 Gonçalo Paciência
22 T. Chandler
19 D. Abraham
24 D. da Costa
32 F. Rønnow
30 Ş. Çetin
25 E. Durm

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
4,24
B
4,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.