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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schmidt
Ein Frankfurt
U S U S T
5–1
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 89%
89%
89%
Both score Ø 78%
78%
78%
Average goals
3,3
3,9
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%
17 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 0
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 10. · Bayern Munich 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 9 6 1 2 +10 19
2 Bayern Munich 9 5 3 1 +13 18
3 Freiburg 9 5 2 2 +7 17
4 Wolfsburg 9 4 5 0 +6 17
5 Hoffenheim 10 5 2 3 +1 17
6 Dortmund 9 4 4 1 +9 16
7 RB Leipzig 9 4 3 2 +7 15
8 Schalke 04 9 4 3 2 +5 15
9 Leverkusen 9 4 3 2 +1 15
10 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 +2 14
11 Hertha 9 3 2 4 -1 11
12 Werder Bremen 9 2 4 3 -4 10
13 Mainz 9 3 0 6 -9 9
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 2 1 6 -6 7
15 Union Berlin 9 2 1 6 -6 7
16 FC Koln 9 2 1 6 -10 7
17 Augsburg 9 1 4 4 -11 7
18 Paderborn 10 1 1 8 -14 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Bayern Munich
9′
🟥 Jérôme Boateng
1–0 F. Kostić
25′
2–0 D. Sow
33′
37′
R. Lewandowski 2–1
A. Davies
Half-time 3–1
3–1 D. Abraham
D. da Costa
49′
51′
🟨 Sven Ulreich
57′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ Philippe Coutinho
4–1 M. Hinteregger
F. Kostić
61′
D. Kamada 🔁
↦ B. Dost
64′
64′
🔁 Javi Martínez
↦ T. Müller
69′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ S. Gnabry
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ S. Rode
71′
72′
🟨 Joshua Kimmich
André Silva 🔁
↦ G. Fernandes
80′
5–1 Gonçalo Paciência
André Silva
85′
Daichi Kamada 🟨
87′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-1-4-2
32 F. Rønnow G
19 D. Abraham D
13 M. Hinteregger D
24 D. da Costa M
2 O. N'Dicka D
5 G. Fernandes M
17 S. Rode M
10 F. Kostić M
8 D. Sow M
9 B. Dost F
39 Gonçalo Paciência F
Bench (9)
15 D. Kamada
11 M. Gaćinović
33 André Silva
28 D. Kohr
20 M. Hasebe
29 F. Wiedwald
25 E. Durm
3 S. Falette
22 T. Chandler

Coach: A. Hütter

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba D
32 J. Kimmich M
5 B. Pavard D
6 Thiago Alcântara M
10 Philippe Coutinho M
22 S. Gnabry M
19 A. Davies D
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (9)
29 K. Coman
8 Javi Martínez
18 L. Goretzka
11 M. Cuisance
33 L. Mai
26 S. Ulreich
24 C. Tolisso
14 I. Perišić
16 L. Dajaku

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,70
U
5,19
B
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,31
U2,5
3,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Schmidt · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.