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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

St. Gallen

S U U S T

2–1

Full-time

Lugano

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 43%

33%

52%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

48%

67%

Both score Ø 72%

67%

76%

Average goals

2,9

3,2

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,40 xG 1,01

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 0

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 7. · Lugano 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	21	11	5	5	+8	+2.6	38
2	Basel	21	11	4	6	+25	+15.9	37
3	Luzern	21	10	6	5	+7	+5.3	36
4	Servette	22	8	9	5	+2	+0.4	33
5	Lausanne	22	9	5	8	+7	+10.8	32
6	Zurich	21	8	6	7	-3	-6.6	30
7	St. Gallen	21	7	8	6	+5	-4.8	29
8	Young Boys	21	7	7	7	-3	+3.0	28
9	Sion	22	7	6	9	-1	+5.1	27
10	Grasshoppers	22	4	9	9	-9	-5.1	21
11	Yverdon	21	5	6	10	-10	-12.1	21
12	Winterthur	21	3	5	13	-28	-14.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	11	7	2	2	+8	+5.1	23
2	Lausanne	11	7	1	3	+10	+9.0	22
3	Luzern	11	6	2	3	+6	+9.0	20
4	Servette	11	5	5	1	+4	+3.0	20
5	Basel	10	6	1	3	+10	+13.3	19
6	Young Boys	10	5	3	2	+4	+0.5	18
7	St. Gallen	10	4	5	1	+8	+1.5	17
8	Sion	11	4	5	2	+7	+12.1	17
9	Zurich	11	4	4	3	+1	-2.3	16
10	Yverdon	11	4	2	5	-3	-3.9	14
11	Grasshoppers	11	1	7	3	-3	+3.7	10
12	Winterthur	10	3	1	6	-10	-3.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	11	5	3	3	+15	+2.6	18
2	Luzern	10	4	4	2	+1	-3.8	16
3	Lugano	10	4	3	3	+0	-2.5	15
4	Zurich	10	4	2	4	-4	-4.3	14
5	Servette	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.7	13
6	St. Gallen	11	3	3	5	-3	-6.3	12
7	Grasshoppers	11	3	2	6	-6	-8.8	11
8	Lausanne	11	2	4	5	-3	+1.8	10
9	Young Boys	11	2	4	5	-7	+2.4	10
10	Sion	11	3	1	7	-8	-7.0	10
11	Yverdon	10	1	4	5	-7	-8.3	7
12	Winterthur	11	0	4	7	-18	-10.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.