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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Servette

T U S T U

4–1

Full-time

Lugano

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

57%

54%

Both score Ø 65%

66%

63%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Servette 2. · Lugano 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	36	21	7	8	+48	+22.4	70
2	Servette	35	15	11	9	+5	-0.7	56
3	Young Boys	35	15	9	11	+6	+8.2	54
4	Zurich	36	15	8	13	+1	-1.2	53
5	Luzern	35	14	10	11	+8	+9.5	52
6	Lugano	35	15	7	13	+0	+7.9	52
7	Lausanne	36	14	9	13	+8	+10.1	51
8	St. Gallen	36	12	13	11	+0	-4.7	49
9	Sion	36	10	11	15	-9	-0.1	41
10	Grasshoppers	36	8	12	16	-11	-12.6	36
11	Winterthur	36	10	6	20	-27	-23.1	36
12	Yverdon	36	8	11	17	-29	-15.8	35

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	18	12	2	4	+24	+18.6	38
2	Young Boys	17	11	4	2	+19	+8.6	37
3	Lausanne	19	11	2	6	+13	+10.8	35
4	Luzern	18	9	5	4	+11	+12.2	32
5	Lugano	18	9	4	5	+3	+11.1	31
6	St. Gallen	17	8	6	3	+8	+6.3	30
7	Servette	17	8	6	3	+6	+5.3	30
8	Sion	18	7	8	3	+9	+11.4	29
9	Zurich	19	8	5	6	+2	-0.5	29
10	Yverdon	18	6	5	7	-4	-2.3	23
11	Winterthur	17	7	2	8	-6	-6.7	23
12	Grasshoppers	18	4	8	6	+2	+4.6	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	18	9	5	4	+24	+3.8	32
2	Servette	18	7	5	6	-1	-6.0	26
3	Zurich	17	7	3	7	-1	-0.7	24
4	Lugano	17	6	3	8	-3	-3.2	21
5	Luzern	17	5	5	7	-3	-2.7	20
6	St. Gallen	19	4	7	8	-8	-11.0	19
7	Young Boys	18	4	5	9	-13	-0.4	17
8	Lausanne	17	3	7	7	-5	-0.8	16
9	Grasshoppers	18	4	4	10	-13	-17.2	16
10	Winterthur	19	3	4	12	-21	-16.3	13
11	Sion	18	3	3	12	-18	-11.4	12
12	Yverdon	18	2	6	10	-25	-13.4	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.