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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Lausanne

S T U S T

2–0

Full-time

Lugano

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 41%

38%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 58%

50%

66%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,68 xG 1,37

32% Possession 68%

13 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 7. · Lugano 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	32	17	7	8	+35	+19.1	58
2	Servette	32	14	10	8	+8	+0.6	52
3	Luzern	32	14	9	9	+11	+7.9	51
4	Young Boys	32	14	8	10	+6	+8.5	50
5	Lugano	32	14	7	11	+3	+9.1	49
6	Zurich	32	13	8	11	-3	-2.8	47
7	Lausanne	32	12	8	12	+6	+10.0	44
8	St. Gallen	32	11	11	10	+2	-5.4	44
9	Sion	32	9	9	14	-9	+0.7	36
10	Grasshoppers	33	7	12	14	-11	-10.7	33
11	Yverdon	32	8	9	15	-19	-13.5	33
12	Winterthur	33	8	6	19	-29	-23.5	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	16	10	4	2	+18	+8.6	34
2	Basel	16	10	2	4	+15	+15.3	32
3	Luzern	16	9	4	3	+13	+11.1	31
4	Lugano	17	9	4	4	+6	+11.1	31
5	Lausanne	16	9	2	5	+11	+10.5	29
6	St. Gallen	15	7	6	2	+10	+5.6	27
7	Servette	15	7	5	3	+5	+5.4	26
8	Sion	16	6	7	3	+8	+11.3	25
9	Zurich	17	6	5	6	-4	-2.2	23
10	Yverdon	16	6	3	7	-4	-2.1	21
11	Winterthur	16	6	2	8	-8	-6.9	20
12	Grasshoppers	17	3	8	6	-3	+4.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	16	7	5	4	+20	+3.8	26
2	Servette	17	7	5	5	+3	-4.7	26
3	Zurich	15	7	3	5	+1	-0.6	24
4	Luzern	16	5	5	6	-2	-3.2	20
5	Lugano	15	5	3	7	-3	-2.0	18
6	St. Gallen	17	4	5	8	-8	-11.0	17
7	Grasshoppers	16	4	4	8	-8	-15.3	16
8	Young Boys	16	4	4	8	-12	-0.0	16
9	Lausanne	16	3	6	7	-5	-0.5	15
10	Yverdon	16	2	6	8	-15	-11.4	12
11	Sion	16	3	2	11	-17	-10.6	11
12	Winterthur	17	2	4	11	-21	-16.6	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.