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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Getafe

T T T T T

0–2

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 39%

29%

49%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

31%

37%

Both score Ø 47%

40%

54%

Average goals

1,9

2,2

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,41 xG 0,86

34% Possession 66%

11 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Getafe 15. · Ath Bilbao 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	35	26	4	5	+59	+46.2	82
2	Real Madrid	36	24	6	6	+36	+28.4	78
3	Ath Madrid	36	20	10	6	+31	+26.0	70
4	Ath Bilbao	35	17	13	5	+25	+15.9	64
5	Villarreal	36	18	10	8	+17	+21.1	64
6	Betis	36	16	11	9	+10	+8.8	59
7	Celta	36	15	7	14	+2	+9.6	52
8	Vallecano	36	12	12	12	-5	-3.7	48
9	Osasuna	36	11	15	10	-6	-8.6	48
10	Mallorca	36	13	8	15	-8	-5.9	47
11	Valencia	36	11	12	13	-9	-7.5	45
12	Sociedad	36	12	7	17	-10	+1.2	43
13	Sevilla	36	10	11	15	-9	-4.2	41
14	Girona	36	11	8	17	-11	-4.8	41
15	Getafe	35	10	9	16	-3	-7.6	39
16	Espanol	35	10	9	16	-9	-21.9	39
17	Alaves	36	9	11	16	-11	-3.2	38
18	Leganes	36	7	13	16	-21	-27.2	34
19	Las Palmas	36	8	8	20	-18	-29.9	32
20	Valladolid	36	4	4	28	-60	-32.4	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	15	1	2	+24	+25.9	46
2	Barcelona	18	14	1	3	+33	+34.7	43
3	Ath Madrid	18	13	4	1	+24	+23.3	43
4	Ath Bilbao	18	11	6	1	+22	+14.3	39
5	Celta	18	11	3	4	+12	+7.5	36
6	Betis	18	9	6	3	+11	+14.2	33
7	Osasuna	18	9	6	3	+8	+2.2	33
8	Villarreal	18	8	7	3	+14	+12.6	31
9	Valencia	18	9	4	5	+7	+5.7	31
10	Espanol	17	7	6	4	+3	-5.7	27
11	Mallorca	18	7	6	5	+0	-1.1	27
12	Vallecano	18	6	7	5	-2	+5.1	25
13	Girona	18	7	3	8	+1	+5.0	24
14	Sociedad	18	7	3	8	-1	+5.8	24
15	Sevilla	18	6	6	6	-4	+1.5	24
16	Alaves	18	6	5	7	-3	+1.4	23
17	Leganes	18	6	4	8	-7	-9.8	22
18	Getafe	17	4	7	6	-1	+3.3	19
19	Las Palmas	18	4	5	9	-7	-7.2	17
20	Valladolid	18	3	4	11	-20	-10.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	12	3	2	+26	+11.5	39
2	Villarreal	18	10	3	5	+3	+8.5	33
3	Real Madrid	18	9	5	4	+12	+2.5	32
4	Ath Madrid	18	7	6	5	+7	+2.7	27
5	Betis	18	7	5	6	-1	-5.4	26
6	Ath Bilbao	17	6	7	4	+3	+1.6	25
7	Vallecano	18	6	5	7	-3	-8.8	23
8	Getafe	18	6	2	10	-2	-10.9	20
9	Mallorca	18	6	2	10	-8	-4.8	20
10	Sociedad	18	5	4	9	-9	-4.6	19
11	Sevilla	18	4	5	9	-5	-5.7	17
12	Girona	18	4	5	9	-12	-9.8	17
13	Celta	18	4	4	10	-10	+2.1	16
14	Alaves	18	3	6	9	-8	-4.6	15
15	Las Palmas	18	4	3	11	-11	-22.7	15
16	Osasuna	18	2	9	7	-14	-10.8	15
17	Valencia	18	2	8	8	-16	-13.2	14
18	Espanol	18	3	3	12	-12	-16.2	12
19	Leganes	18	1	9	8	-14	-17.4	12
20	Valladolid	18	1	0	17	-40	-21.6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.