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Super League

Referee: Luca Piccolo

Sion

U U S T S

4–0

Full-time

Lugano

U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sion Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,27 xG 1,75

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 17

8 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sion 5. · Lugano 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.4	6
2	Thun	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.6	6
3	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.4	4
4	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	Sion	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	+4.5	3
7	Basel	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
8	Winterthur	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.3	1
9	Zurich	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
10	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Grasshoppers	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.8	0
12	Servette	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
2	Lausanne	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
3	Basel	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
4	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Thun	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.7	3
6	Winterthur	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
7	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
8	Zurich	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
9	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
2	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
3	Sion	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Thun	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
5	Young Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
6	Winterthur	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.9	0
7	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
8	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
9	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
10	Servette	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.