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Referee: K van Damme

Charleroi

U S S U T

1–1

Full-time

St Truiden

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,34 xG 1,59

37% Possession 63%

4 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.2	6
2	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+5	+4.3	4
3	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
4	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
6	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
7	Dender	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
8	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
9	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
10	Waregem	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.2	1
11	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
13	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.1	0
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.6	3
2	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
3	Westerlo	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
4	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
6	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
7	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
8	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
9	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
10	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Standard	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Dender	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
4	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
5	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
6	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
7	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
8	Waregem	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
9	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.