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Superligaen
Referee: S Putros
Aarhus
T T T U T
0–0
Full-time
Midtjylland
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,5
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,5
7,0
Scored
1,0
4,5
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,28 xG 0,56
74% Possession 26%
22 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aarhus 10. · Midtjylland 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 +5 +4.4 9
2 Randers FC 3 2 1 0 +2 +0.4 7
3 Brondby 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.8 6
4 Midtjylland 2 1 1 0 +4 +1.2 4
5 Vejle 3 1 1 1 +2 -1.4 4
6 Odense 3 1 1 1 -2 +0.7 4
7 Sonderjyske 3 1 1 1 -3 -1.9 4
8 Nordsjaelland 3 1 0 2 -1 +1.5 3
9 Fredericia 3 1 0 2 -1 -1.8 3
10 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
11 Viborg 2 0 0 2 -3 -2.6 0
12 Silkeborg 3 0 0 3 -6 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Midtjylland
28′
🟥 Edward Chilufya
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Osorio
↦ D. Castillo
46′
🔁 Junior Brumado
↦ M. Gogorza
Gift Links 🟨
55′
R. Carstensen 🔁
↦ H. Dalsgaard
64′
70′
🔁 Dani Silva
↦ O. Sorensen
70′
🔁 V. Byskov
↦ A. Simsir
S. Jorgensen 🔁
↦ N. Poulsen
71′
F. Emmery 🔁
↦ G. Links
71′
83′
🟨 Darío Osorio
K. Yakob 🔁
↦ T. Bech
84′
J. Serra 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
84′
87′
🔁 A. Gabriel
↦ K. Mbabu
92′
🟨 Valdemar Byskov
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-3
1 J. Hansen G
3 H. Dalsgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
19 E. Kahl D
2 F. Beijmo M
6 N. Poulsen M
7 M. Madsen M
11 G. Links M
31 T. Bech F
9 P. Mortensen F
10 K. Arnstad
Bench (9)
22 L. Wahlstedt
29 R. Carstensen
33 L. Callo
40 J. Jensen-Abbew
8 S. Jorgensen
17 K. Yakob
39 F. Emmery
13 J. Serra
27 S. Tchamche

Coach: Jakob Poulsen

Midtjylland

4-4-2
1 J. Lossl G
43 K. Mbabu D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
55 V. Bak D
58 A. Simsir M
19 P. Bravo M
24 O. Sorensen M
41 M. Gogorza M
14 E. Chilufya F
21 D. Castillo F
Bench (9)
16 E. Olafsson
13 A. Gabriel
29 Paulinho
80 Dani Silva
20 V. Byskov
11 D. Osorio
7 Franculino
90 F. Etim
74 Junior Brumado

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.