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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

Lausanne

T S S U T

1–1

Full-time

Lugano

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

42%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

64%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,34 xG 1,18

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 8. · Lugano 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	37	21	7	9	+44	+22.4	70
2	Young Boys	37	17	9	11	+11	+8.2	60
3	Servette	36	16	11	9	+8	-0.7	59
4	Zurich	37	15	8	14	+0	-2.2	53
5	Luzern	36	14	10	12	+7	+9.5	52
6	St. Gallen	37	13	13	11	+1	-3.7	52
7	Lugano	36	15	7	14	-3	+7.9	52
8	Lausanne	36	14	9	13	+8	+10.1	51
9	Sion	37	11	11	15	-8	-0.1	44
10	Winterthur	37	10	7	20	-27	-21.7	37
11	Grasshoppers	37	8	12	17	-12	-12.6	36
12	Yverdon	37	8	12	17	-29	-17.1	36

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	19	13	4	2	+24	+8.5	43
2	Basel	18	12	2	4	+24	+18.6	38
3	Lausanne	19	11	2	6	+13	+10.8	35
4	St. Gallen	18	9	6	3	+9	+7.3	33
5	Servette	18	9	6	3	+9	+5.3	33
6	Luzern	18	9	5	4	+11	+12.2	32
7	Sion	19	8	8	3	+10	+11.4	32
8	Lugano	18	9	4	5	+3	+11.1	31
9	Zurich	19	8	5	6	+2	-0.5	29
10	Winterthur	18	7	3	8	-6	-5.4	24
11	Yverdon	18	6	5	7	-4	-2.3	23
12	Grasshoppers	18	4	8	6	+2	+4.6	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	19	9	5	5	+20	+3.9	32
2	Servette	18	7	5	6	-1	-6.0	26
3	Zurich	18	7	3	8	-2	-1.7	24
4	Lugano	18	6	3	9	-6	-3.2	21
5	Luzern	18	5	5	8	-4	-2.7	20
6	St. Gallen	19	4	7	8	-8	-11.0	19
7	Young Boys	18	4	5	9	-13	-0.4	17
8	Lausanne	17	3	7	7	-5	-0.8	16
9	Grasshoppers	19	4	4	11	-14	-17.2	16
10	Winterthur	19	3	4	12	-21	-16.3	13
11	Yverdon	19	2	7	10	-25	-14.8	13
12	Sion	18	3	3	12	-18	-11.4	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.