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Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Dortmund

T U S S T

2–0

Full-time

Hertha

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,5

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

50%

21%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

75%

58%

Both score Ø 59%

63%

54%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%

12 Shots 3

4 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 0

3 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Dortmund 6. · Hertha 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	25	18	4	3	+39	58
2	RB Leipzig	24	16	5	3	+26	53
3	Wolfsburg	25	13	9	3	+22	48
4	Ein Frankfurt	24	11	10	3	+14	43
5	Leverkusen	24	11	7	6	+16	40
6	Dortmund	24	12	3	9	+15	39
7	Union Berlin	25	9	11	5	+11	38
8	Freiburg	25	9	7	9	-2	34
9	Stuttgart	24	8	9	7	+8	33
10	M'gladbach	25	8	9	8	+1	33
11	Hoffenheim	24	8	6	10	-2	30
12	Werder Bremen	25	7	9	9	-6	30
13	Augsburg	25	8	5	12	-11	29
14	FC Koln	25	5	7	13	-21	22
15	Hertha	24	5	6	13	-15	21
16	Mainz	25	5	6	14	-20	21
17	Bielefeld	24	5	4	15	-25	19
18	Schalke 04	25	1	7	17	-50	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	12	10	1	1	+15	31
2	Bayern Munich	12	9	3	0	+28	30
3	Wolfsburg	12	8	4	0	+16	28
4	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	6	0	+9	24
5	Union Berlin	13	5	7	1	+10	22
6	Dortmund	11	6	2	3	+11	20
7	Leverkusen	12	5	4	3	+7	19
8	Freiburg	13	5	4	4	+4	19
9	M'gladbach	13	5	4	4	+4	19
10	Hoffenheim	12	5	2	5	+5	17
11	Augsburg	13	4	3	6	-6	15
12	Werder Bremen	12	3	4	5	-5	13
13	Bielefeld	13	4	1	8	-11	13
14	Stuttgart	11	2	6	3	+2	12
15	Mainz	13	3	2	8	-9	11
16	Hertha	12	3	2	7	-11	11
17	FC Koln	12	1	4	7	-9	7
18	Schalke 04	13	1	3	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	1	3	+11	28
2	RB Leipzig	12	6	4	2	+11	22
3	Leverkusen	12	6	3	3	+9	21
4	Stuttgart	13	6	3	4	+6	21
5	Wolfsburg	13	5	5	3	+6	20
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	4	3	+5	19
7	Dortmund	13	6	1	6	+4	19
8	Werder Bremen	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Union Berlin	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Freiburg	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	FC Koln	13	4	3	6	-12	15
12	M'gladbach	12	3	5	4	-3	14
13	Augsburg	12	4	2	6	-5	14
14	Hoffenheim	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Hertha	12	2	4	6	-4	10
16	Mainz	12	2	4	6	-11	10
17	Bielefeld	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	Schalke 04	12	0	4	8	-32	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.