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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Getafe
T T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 50%
27%
73%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
38%
42%
Both score Ø 37%
27%
46%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
11 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 11
0 Offside 6
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 15. · Ath Madrid 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 26 19 5 2 +32 62
2 Real Madrid 27 17 6 4 +24 57
3 Barcelona 26 17 5 4 +35 56
4 Sevilla 25 15 3 7 +15 48
5 Sociedad 26 12 9 5 +22 45
6 Betis 26 13 3 10 -4 42
7 Villarreal 26 8 13 5 +5 37
8 Levante 27 8 11 8 +1 35
9 Ath Bilbao 26 9 6 11 +6 33
10 Celta 26 8 9 9 -6 33
11 Granada 26 9 6 11 -12 33
12 Valencia 27 7 9 11 -5 30
13 Osasuna 27 7 8 12 -12 29
14 Cadiz 27 7 8 12 -19 29
15 Getafe 26 7 6 13 -11 27
16 Valladolid 27 5 11 11 -12 26
17 Elche 26 5 9 12 -15 24
18 Alaves 27 5 8 14 -20 23
19 Eibar 26 4 10 12 -9 22
20 Huesca 26 3 11 12 -15 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Ath Madrid
-5′
🟨 Mario Hermoso
45′
🟨 Stefan Savić
45′
🟨 José Giménez
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 João Félix
↦ Saúl
64′
🔁 Renan Lodi
↦ Y. Carrasco
64′
🔁 T. Lemar
↦ Hermoso
64′
🔁 M. Dembélé
↦ Á. Correa
D. Suárez 🔁
↦ J. Hernández
65′
Allan Nyom 🟥
70′
77′
🟨 João Félix
83′
🟨 Marcos Llorente
David Soria 🟨
90′
Timor 🔁
↦ E. Ünal
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
12 A. Nyom D
2 D. Dakonam D
21 S. Chakla D
15 Cucurella M
17 M. Olivera D
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
18 M. Arambarri M
11 Carles Aleñá M
10 E. Ünal F
23 J. Hernández F
Bench (9)
22 D. Suárez
24 Timor
4 Etxeita
8 Portillo
40 E. Akurugu
5 T. Kubo
1 Rubén Yáñez
6 Chema Rodríguez
9 Ángel

Coach: José Bordalás

Ath Madrid

4-1-4-1
13 J. Oblak G
15 S. Savić D
23 K. Trippier D
2 J. Giménez D
22 Hermoso D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
21 Y. Carrasco M
14 Llorente M
9 L. Suárez F
10 Á. Correa M
Bench (10)
7 João Félix
12 Renan Lodi
11 T. Lemar
19 M. Dembélé
4 G. Kondogbia
20 Vitolo
16 H. Herrera
1 I. Grbić
24 Š. Vrsaljko
5 L. Torreira

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,75
U ✓
3,12
B
1,93
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,92
U2,5 ✓
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.