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Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Schalke 04
T T U T U
0–4
Full-time
Dortmund
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
5%
48%
Points per game
0,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
67%
71%
Both score Ø 55%
43%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · Dortmund 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 15 4 3 +31 49
2 RB Leipzig 21 13 5 3 +19 44
3 Wolfsburg 22 11 9 2 +16 42
4 Ein Frankfurt 22 11 9 2 +15 42
5 Leverkusen 21 10 6 5 +16 36
6 Dortmund 21 10 3 8 +10 33
7 Union Berlin 22 8 9 5 +10 33
8 M'gladbach 22 8 9 5 +5 33
9 Freiburg 22 8 7 7 +1 31
10 Stuttgart 22 7 8 7 +4 29
11 Werder Bremen 20 5 8 7 -3 23
12 Hoffenheim 21 6 5 10 -7 23
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 -13 22
14 FC Koln 22 5 6 11 -16 21
15 Hertha 21 4 6 11 -11 18
16 Bielefeld 21 5 3 13 -20 18
17 Mainz 22 4 5 13 -20 17
18 Schalke 04 21 1 6 14 -37 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Dortmund
Matthew Hoppe 🟨
14′
M. Langer 🔁
↦ R. Fährmann
32′
42′
J. Sancho 0–1
45′
E. Haaland 0–2
J. Sancho
Half-time 0–2
Omar Mascarell 🔁
↦ William
46′
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ N. Boujellab
46′
60′
Raphaël Guerreiro 0–3
M. Reus
61′
🔁 J. Bellingham
↦ J. Brandt
63′
🟨 Jude Bellingham
64′
🟨 Mahmoud Dahoud
Sead Kolašinac 🟨
66′
B. Raman 🔁
↦ M. Hoppe
66′
79′
E. Haaland 0–4
J. Bellingham
80′
🔁 G. Reyna
↦ M. Dahoud
80′
🔁 Reinier
↦ M. Reus
83′
🔁 Y. Moukoko
↦ T. Delaney
83′
🔁 T. Meunier
↦ Mateu Morey
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-3-3
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka D
17 B. Stambouli M
20 S. Kolašinac D
13 William F
31 T. Becker D
33 M. Thiaw D
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit F
16 N. Boujellab M
43 M. Hoppe F
Bench (9)
34 M. Langer
6 Omar Mascarell
28 A. Schöpf
9 B. Raman
30 S. Mustafi
10 N. Bentaleb
37 L. Mercan
3 H. Mendyl
40 C. Bozdogan

Coach: C. Gross

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
15 M. Hummels D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
2 Mateu Morey D
6 T. Delaney M
23 E. Can D
19 J. Brandt M
8 M. Dahoud M
7 J. Sancho M
11 M. Reus M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
22 J. Bellingham
32 G. Reyna
20 Reinier
18 Y. Moukoko
24 T. Meunier
25 L. Unbehaun
14 N. Schulz
27 S. Tigges
30 F. Passlack

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,24
U
5,50
B ✓
1,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.