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La Liga
Referee: Isidro Díaz de Mera
Alaves
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Cadiz
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 23%
19%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 46%
54%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 19. · Cadiz 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 26 19 5 2 +32 62
2 Barcelona 26 17 5 4 +35 56
3 Real Madrid 26 16 6 4 +23 54
4 Sevilla 25 15 3 7 +15 48
5 Sociedad 26 12 9 5 +22 45
6 Betis 26 13 3 10 -4 42
7 Villarreal 26 8 13 5 +5 37
8 Levante 27 8 11 8 +1 35
9 Ath Bilbao 26 9 6 11 +6 33
10 Celta 26 8 9 9 -6 33
11 Granada 26 9 6 11 -12 33
12 Valencia 27 7 9 11 -5 30
13 Osasuna 26 7 7 12 -12 28
14 Cadiz 26 7 7 12 -19 28
15 Getafe 26 7 6 13 -11 27
16 Valladolid 26 5 10 11 -12 25
17 Elche 25 5 9 11 -14 24
18 Eibar 26 4 10 12 -9 22
19 Alaves 26 5 7 14 -20 22
20 Huesca 26 3 11 12 -15 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jan -21 Cadiz – Alaves 3–1

Match report

Alaves Cadiz
6′
🔁 Salvi
↦ M. López
34′
🟨 Salvi
1–0 Joselu
36′
Half-time 1–0
Lucas Pérez 🔁
↦ Luis Rioja
65′
Tomás Pina 🟨
70′
74′
🟨 Fali
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ Edgar Méndez
79′
Manu García 🟨
80′
Manu García 🟨
81′
Manu García 🟥
81′
83′
🔁 I. Šaponjić
↦ Álvaro Negredo
83′
🔁 F. Malbašić
↦ Sobrino
84′
Álex 1–1
Pere Pons 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
85′
90′
🟨 Ivan Šaponjić
91′
🔁 Jairo Izquierdo
↦ Alberto Perea
91′
🔁 Jon Garrido
↦ José Mari
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
22 F. Lejeune D
3 Rubén Duarte D
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
19 Manu García M
16 Edgar Méndez F
8 Pina M
9 Joselu F
11 Luis Rioja M
37 F. Pellistri M
Bench (12)
7 Lucas Pérez
17 Iñigo Córdoba
20 Pere Pons
6 R. Battaglia
29 Borja Sainz
13 Sivera
24 Jota Peleteiro
14 Deyverson
18 Burgui
10 J. Guidetti
26 Javi López
2 Alberto Rodríguez

Coach: Abelardo

Cadiz

4-1-4-1
1 J. Ledesma G
16 Juan Cala D
4 M. López D
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex M
6 José Mari M
2 J. Jønsson M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
10 Alberto Perea M
21 Sobrino M
Bench (12)
7 Salvi
12 I. Šaponjić
24 F. Malbašić
25 Jairo Izquierdo
5 Jon Garrido
19 Alcalá
37 Álex Martín
26 J. Flere
11 Jorge Pombo
13 David Gil
14 Alejo
17 A. Fernández

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,15
B
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,65
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.