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Premier League
Referee: P Tierney
Man United
S T T U S
5–1
Full-time
Leeds
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Apr -21 Leeds – Man United 0–0 20. Dec -20 Man United – Leeds 6–2

Match report

Man United Leeds
1–0 Bruno Fernandes ⚽
P. Pogba
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Junior Firpo
↦ Rodrigo
49′
⚽ L. Ayling 1–1
S. Dallas
2–1 M. Greenwood ⚽
P. Pogba
52′
3–1 Bruno Fernandes ⚽
P. Pogba
54′
59′
🟨 Liam Cooper
4–1 Bruno Fernandes ⚽
V. Lindelöf
60′
62′
🟨 Raphinha
5–1 Fred ⚽
P. Pogba
68′
N. Matić 🔁
↦ S. McTominay
70′
70′
🔁 Hélder Costa
↦ J. Harrison
A. Martial 🔁
↦ P. Pogba
75′
J. Sancho 🔁
↦ D. James
75′
77′
🔁 T. Roberts
↦ P. Bamford
Luke Shaw 🟨
83′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
2 V. Lindelöf D
5 H. Maguire D
23 L. Shaw D
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
6 P. Pogba M
17 Fred M
18 Bruno Fernandes M
39 S. McTominay M
21 D. James M
11 M. Greenwood F
Bench (9)
31 N. Matić
9 A. Martial
25 J. Sancho
15 Andreas Pereira
34 D. van de Beek
20 Diogo Dalot
8 Mata
22 T. Heaton
33 B. Williams

Coach: O. Solskjær

Leeds

4-1-4-1
1 I. Meslier G
6 L. Cooper D
2 L. Ayling D
15 S. Dallas D
5 R. Koch M
21 P. Struijk D
43 M. Klich M
22 J. Harrison M
19 Rodrigo M
9 P. Bamford F
10 Raphinha M
Bench (9)
3 Junior Firpo
17 Hélder Costa
11 T. Roberts
4 A. Forshaw
38 C. Summerville
13 K. Klaesson
23 K. Phillips
42 S. Greenwood
46 J. Shackleton

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
🔒
U
4,48
🔒
B
5,87
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,65
🔒
U2,5
2,29
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.