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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Alaves
S S T S T
1–3
Full-time
Betis
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
37%
41%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 41%
37%
44%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 16. · Betis 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 28 22 6 0 +59 72
2 Ath Madrid 28 19 7 2 +36 64
3 Real Madrid 28 17 6 5 +37 57
4 Valencia 28 17 5 6 +24 56
5 Sevilla 28 14 3 11 -6 45
6 Villarreal 28 13 5 10 +6 44
7 Girona 28 12 7 9 +4 43
8 Eibar 28 11 6 11 -6 39
9 Celta 28 11 5 12 +3 38
10 Betis 27 11 4 12 -9 37
11 Getafe 28 9 9 10 +7 36
12 Ath Bilbao 28 8 11 9 -2 35
13 Espanol 28 8 11 9 -8 35
14 Sociedad 28 9 6 13 +0 33
15 Leganes 28 9 6 13 -11 33
16 Alaves 27 10 1 16 -15 31
17 Levante 28 4 12 12 -19 24
18 Las Palmas 28 5 5 18 -37 20
19 La Coruna 28 4 7 17 -34 19
20 Malaga 28 3 4 21 -29 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Betis
23′
Loren Morón 0–1
Rodrigo Ely 🟨
36′
44′
Javi García 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Víctor Laguardia 🟨
50′
50′
🟨 Antonio Adán
Burgui 🔁
↦ Alfonso Pedraza
62′
63′
🔁 Jordi Amat
↦ Rubén Castro
1–2 Rubén Sobrino
Martín
67′
68′
🟨 Víctor Camarasa
70′
🟨 Javi García
70′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ Víctor Camarasa
Bojan 🔁
↦ Ibai Gómez
76′
78′
Loren Morón 1–3
R. Boudebouz
H. Pérez 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Ely
80′
80′
🔁 Sergio León
↦ Loren Morón
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
12 Rodrigo Ely D
3 Rubén Duarte D
32 Martín D
19 Manu García M
18 Tomás Pina M
11 Ibai Gómez M
17 Alfonso Pedraza M
7 Rubén Sobrino F
24 Munir F
Bench (7)
14 Burgui
15 Bojan
21 H. Pérez
4 Alexis
6 G. Maripán
13 Antonio Sivera
16 D. Torres

Coach: Abelardo

Betis

4-4-2
13 Adán G
23 A. Mandi D
15 Bartra D
28 J. Firpo M
3 Javi García M
10 R. Boudebouz M
8 Víctor Camarasa M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
24 Rubén Castro F
16 Loren Morón F
27 Francis Guerrero M
Bench (7)
5 Jordi Amat
20 Cristian Tello
7 Sergio León
1 Dani Giménez
12 J. Campbell
14 R. Durmisi
19 Barragán

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.