La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Alaves
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 | +59 | 72 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | +36 | 64 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | +37 | 57 |
| 4 |
Valencia
|
28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | +24 | 56 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 45 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +6 | 44 |
| 7 |
Girona
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 43 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 39 |
| 9 |
Celta
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +3 | 38 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | -9 | 37 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | +7 | 36 |
| 12 |
Ath Bilbao
|
28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 |
Sociedad
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | +0 | 33 |
| 15 |
Leganes
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
27 | 10 | 1 | 16 | -15 | 31 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 |
Las Palmas
|
28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -37 | 20 |
| 19 |
La Coruna
|
28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -34 | 19 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
28 | 3 | 4 | 21 | -29 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Rodrigo Ely
D
Alfonso Pedraza
M
Munir
F
Coach: Abelardo
A. Mandi
D
Bartra
D
J. Firpo
M
Fabián Ruiz
M
Loren Morón
F
Coach: Quique Setién
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Alaves
Alaves
Levante
Real Madrid
Alaves
Alaves
La Coruna
Villarreal
Alaves
Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.