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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Betis
T S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
35%
41%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
71%
12%
Both score Ø 59%
82%
35%
Average goals
3,1
1,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 13. · Ath Madrid 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 12 3 3 +26 39
2 Real Madrid 17 10 6 1 +21 36
3 Sevilla 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Sociedad 18 9 4 5 +9 31
5 Getafe 18 8 6 4 +9 30
6 Ath Madrid 17 7 8 2 +8 29
7 Valencia 18 7 7 4 +3 28
8 Ath Bilbao 17 7 6 4 +7 27
9 Villarreal 18 7 4 7 +6 25
10 Granada 18 7 3 8 -1 24
11 Osasuna 18 5 8 5 +1 23
12 Levante 17 7 2 8 -4 23
13 Betis 17 6 5 6 -5 23
14 Valladolid 18 4 8 6 -6 20
15 Alaves 18 5 4 9 -9 19
16 Eibar 18 5 4 9 -10 19
17 Mallorca 18 4 3 11 -14 15
18 Celta 17 3 5 9 -11 14
19 Leganes 18 3 4 11 -14 13
20 Espanol 18 2 4 12 -22 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Ath Madrid
42′
🟨 João Félix
Half-time 0–0
Aïssa Mandi 🟨
51′
55′
🟨 Thomas Partey
57′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ T. Lemar
58′
Á. Correa 0–1
Borja Iglesias 🔁
↦ Loren Morón
60′
67′
🟨 Álvaro Morata
D. Lainez 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
70′
Marc Bartra 🟨
80′
Tello 🔁
↦ A. Mandi
83′
84′
Morata 0–2
Á. Correa
89′
🔁 Llorente
↦ João Félix
Zouhair Feddal 🟨
90′
Andrés Guardado 🟨
90′
1–2 Bartra
Álex Moreno
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Betis

4-1-4-1
1 Joel Robles G
22 Emerson D
23 Aïssa Mandi D
4 Zouhair Feddal D
15 Álex Moreno D
5 Marc Bartra M
8 Nabil Fekir M
10 Sergio Canales M
18 Andrés Guardado M
17 Joaquín M
16 Loren Moron F
Bench (7)
13 Dani Martín
32 Edgar Gonzalez
19 Antonio Barragán
21 Wilfrid Kaptoum
20 Diego Lainez
9 Borja Iglesias
11 Cristian Tello

Coach: Rubí

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 Jan Oblak G
23 Kieran Trippier D
18 Felipe D
2 José Giménez D
12 Renan Lodi D
16 Héctor Herrera M
5 Thomas Partey M
8 Saúl Ñíguez M
11 Thomas Lemar M
7 João Félix F
9 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (7)
1 Antonio Adán
35 Manuel Sánchez
4 Santiago Arias
22 Mario Hermoso
14 Marcos Llorente
10 Ángel Correa
17 Ivan Šaponjić

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,82
U
3,33
B ✓
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.