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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Levante
T T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Alaves
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
26%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
68%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
68%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 11. · Alaves 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 12 4 3 +26 40
2 Real Madrid 19 11 7 1 +24 40
3 Ath Madrid 19 9 8 2 +10 35
4 Sevilla 19 10 5 4 +6 35
5 Getafe 20 9 6 5 +9 33
6 Sociedad 19 9 4 6 +8 31
7 Valencia 19 8 7 4 +4 31
8 Ath Bilbao 19 7 8 4 +7 29
9 Villarreal 19 8 4 7 +7 28
10 Granada 19 8 3 8 +0 27
11 Levante 19 8 2 9 -3 26
12 Osasuna 19 5 9 5 +1 24
13 Betis 19 6 6 7 -6 24
14 Valladolid 19 4 9 6 -6 21
15 Alaves 19 5 5 9 -9 20
16 Eibar 19 5 4 10 -11 19
17 Celta 19 3 6 10 -13 15
18 Mallorca 19 4 3 12 -15 15
19 Leganes 20 3 5 12 -17 14
20 Espanol 19 2 5 12 -22 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Alaves
39′
🟨 Rodrigo Ely
Gonzalo Melero 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
E. Bardhi 🔁
↦ Melero
55′
64′
🔁 Borja Sainz
↦ Luis Rioja
64′
Aleix Vidal 0–1
Joselu
Hernâni 🔁
↦ Morales
66′
67′
🟨 Ximo Navarro
70′
🟨 Rubén Duarte
Sergio León 🔁
↦ Borja Mayoral
79′
82′
🔁 Pere Pons
↦ Aleix Vidal
Erick Cabaco 🟨
87′
89′
🟨 Víctor Camarasa
89′
🔁 Martín Aguirregabiria
↦ Camarasa
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
13 Aitor G
23 Coke D
18 Erick Cabaco D
15 Sergio Postigo D
3 Toño D
11 José Luis Morales M
5 Nemanja Radoja M
22 Gonzalo Melero M
24 José Campaña M
21 Borja Mayoral F
9 Roger Martí F
Bench (7)
26 Dani Cárdenas
6 Óscar Duarte
19 Carlos Clerc
10 Enis Bardhi
16 Ruben Rochina
7 Sergio León
8 Hernani

Coach: Paco López

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
23 Ximo Navarro D
5 Víctor Laguardia D
4 Rodrigo Ely D
3 Rubén Duarte D
18 Aleix Vidal M
10 Víctor Camarasa M
19 Manu García M
11 Luis Rioja M
9 Joselu F
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
31 Aritz Castro
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
27 Alberto Rodríguez
20 Pere Pons
29 Borja Sainz
35 Ismael Gutiérrez
14 Burgui

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,47
B ✓
3,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.