La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Eibar
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | +27 | 49 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +25 | 43 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +7 | 38 |
| 4 |
Valencia
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +4 | 37 |
| 5 |
Getafe
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +10 | 36 |
| 6 |
Ath Madrid
|
22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | +7 | 36 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +7 | 34 |
| 8 |
Villarreal
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +7 | 31 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | +7 | 31 |
| 10 |
Granada
|
22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 28 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 27 |
| 13 |
Levante
|
21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | -6 | 26 |
| 14 |
Valladolid
|
22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 23 |
| 16 |
Eibar
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 23 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 |
Leganes
|
22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -16 | 18 |
| 19 |
Celta
|
22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -14 | 17 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -22 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Marko Dmitrović
G
Álvaro Tejero
D
Pedro Bigas
D
Edu Expósito
M
Coach: Mendilibar
Joel Robles
G
Aïssa Mandi
D
Marc Bartra
D
Álex Moreno
D
Edgar Gonzalez
M
Sergio Canales
M
Carles Aleñá
M
Borja Iglesias
F
Coach: Rubí
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Celta
Eibar
Eibar
Ath Madrid
Valencia
Eibar
Eibar
Granada
Ath Bilbao
Eibar
Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.